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Moon cycles and corn


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Moon cycles and corn

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  #1 (permalink)
nb10071981
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I recently had to create a discussion topic for an astronomy course I am partaking in to finish my degree. Since I don't have much particular interest in stellar parallax or nebular spectra I decided to bring the conversation to me. And chose to create a topic based on moon cycles and their alleged correlation to various futures contracts. After a little bit of research I came to the conclusion that most of the perceived correlation takes place in the grain markets. Which kind of makes sense from a scientific perspective given the moons gravitational effects on the earth as it goes through its phases rotating around our planet. If the moons gravitational field is strong enough to effect ocean tides, it probably has some sort effect on land as well. Anyways I was clicking through charts of various grains looking for any definitive market rotations at or around any of the four phases of the moon and stumbled onto corn. I noticed after each full moon corn would break its uptrend and start a downward move till the next quarter. On Friday of last week I remember looking at corns chart and saying to myself "this looks fairly bullish from a technical viewpoint, let's see if this full moon on Sunday changes things" and sure enough by the end of this week corn has given back most of the gains from the previous market short term uptrend. It's actually one of the steepest sell offs of the year so far. I tend not to follow these things and spend the majority of my time using the volume and market profiles to extract some sort of perceived edge in which to base my risks upon. Any comments or thoughts on this subject?

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 ratfink 
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nb10071981 View Post
Any comments or thoughts on this subject?

Moon (and other) cycles affect brains (70% water), statistically significant changes in suicides, accident rates, manias and almost certainly trader/investor behaviour.

The commentary on the grains has additional merit, and the longwave cycles probably had similar agricultural origins, affected by the larger planetary cycles which drive the Sun's behaviour.

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 SMCJB 
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In the last 10 years, the day after a full moon I show corn on average DROPS .381% while on other days on average it RISES by .03%

 
Code
   SHOW 
     t+1: percent_move from today to 1 day later  of C  
   WHEN 
       Date is in "Intl_Astro_Moon_Full" 
     AND 
       Date is within 10 years 




	Avg	-0.3810
	AvgPos	1.3651
	AvgNeg	-1.8299
	PctPos	39.0000
	PctNeg	50.0000
	Maximum	5.8287
	Minimum	-7.3037
	StdDev	2.0749
	ZStat	-0.1836
	Variance	4.3051
 
Code
   SHOW 
     t+1: percent_move from today to 1 day later of C  
   WHEN 
       Date is not in "Intl_Astro_Moon_Full" 
     AND 
       Date is within 10 years 



		
	Avg	0.0296
	AvgPos	1.4335
	AvgNeg	-1.4035
	PctPos	48.0000
	PctNeg	46.0000
	Maximum	9.4262
	Minimum	-9.8854
	StdDev	1.8619
	ZStat	0.0159
	Variance	3.4668

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 Hodon 
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In the late 80's early 90's Welles Wilder published a book "The Delta Phenomenom or The hidden Order in All Markets".
It is all about moon cycles. I just googled it and there is a current website.

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nb10071981
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I've noticed that the rotations have been getting wider as we approach the harvest. Also there is a full solar eclipse stretching across the middle of North America in august. Maybe this is in anticipation of that. Which is a highly rare event.

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nb10071981
Daytona beach Florida
 
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...

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 forgiven 
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forget the moon and stars , any kind of cycles were it is the moon or fib. time projections are low % most of the time. you would be better of looking at the C.T. data from the CME

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nb10071981
Daytona beach Florida
 
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Thanks for the positive feedback, I don't put much weight in these cycles, in fact I am a discretionary trader that only uses market and volume profiling. But the past five months corn has been following these cycles, and there is a full solar eclipse stretching across the North American next month so it's just eerie that's all.

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  #9 (permalink)
nb10071981
Daytona beach Florida
 
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Another full moon and another selloff in corn futures from 375 down to 357. Is this a complete coincidence or is there a particular pattern emerging here?

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Last Updated on August 10, 2017


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