20250116 pre market



News
11:00 feds williams

Condition 1
yesterday gap up and hold
but we are still in that messy area
and we are running in the downtrend line

Condition 0
eth explored a little higher
we open near y h

Thoughts
Wait for a situation that is
a) established enough and (on the other hand still)
b) fresh enough

I have no bias in what way such a situation could occur

20250117 pre market



News
-

Condition 1
we had 2 day balance after gap up

Condition 0
we open with big gap up

Thoughts
todays gap challenges the down trend line

20250121 pre market



News
-

Condition 1
otf up

Condition 0
eth had a tough break but climbed back up
in relation to friday we open with a gap up

Thoughts
the downtrend is broken
market looks bullish but inventory is already very long

20250122 pre market



News
1300 bond auctiion

Condition 1
otf up

Condition 0
open with big gap up

Thoughts
gap up on top of already existing flagpole

20250123 pre market



News
11.00 Trump

Condition 1
otf up

Condition 0
eth explored in the gap
we open near y low

Thoughts
would be normal to come into balance a bit on the daily
i will watch how it behaves in the gap
there should be some laggard buyers positioned

20250128 pre market



News
10:00 consumer confidence

News this week
wed: fed !!!
wed: meta, msft, tsla (all amc)
thu: aapl amc

Condition 1
large gap down yesterday with ai news
market rose after open

Condition 0
eth explored a little higher
we open near y h

Thoughts
Absolutely no idea what will happen next
Totally open and looking for intraday scalp opportunities

20250129 pre market



News
09:45 rate decision boc
14:00 rate decision fed
14:30 press conference fed
meta, msft, tsla amc
tomorrow aapl

Condition 1
-

Condition 0
open in range and value

Thoughts
i will not trade before 09:45
i will end early around 11
perhaps i do not trade at all

trade example


Often we see non-trend days or neutral days before big news events

20250130 pre market



News
we have some moves in big stocks from earnings
aapl today amc

Condition 1
yesterdays fed day was an inside day which is a form of Balance
> edges can be interesting
For now market has left single prints on the bottom of mo and tue

Condition 0
we open near y poc

Thoughts
I have no bias

20250203 pre market



News
09:45 pmi
10:00 ism
12:30 feds bostic

Condition 1
strong selloff after tariff info

Condition 0
open with very large gap down

Thoughts
the bias is short
we attenpt to breakout of 4 day balance
there could be some overhead supply
at the same time we already have shorts positioned from friday and eth > there could be some covering
as the breakout is fresh there could also be a gap and go
and, as always, door no 3: As we have already moved more than 3% we could see balance