NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





2025 SNAKE


Discussion in Trading Journals

Updated
    1. trending_up 1,493 views
    2. thumb_up 3 thanks given
    3. group 2 followers
    1. forum 49 posts
    2. attach_file 0 attachments




 
Search this Thread
  #41 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

one thing about the rest of world is they have bounced back

some even more so than the domestic markets through earnings

cautious optimism in some respects, aside from china-us relations

//

pending foreign relations where the us is actually most vulnerable


Reply With Quote
  #42 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

move deals a test of resistance and starts repositioning

some uncertainty removed, but a lot still remains medium term

additional range from carry and yield considerations with high vol

//

ongoing conditionals and earnings, possible retests below


Reply With Quote
  #43 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

big push, just saw vol reacting after failing resistance

might not get that extra dip op as darks went big

energy is not as enthusiastic here yield are

//

this week shows supportive action without dipping


Reply With Quote
  #44 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

vol is rather balanced, though the tilt here is for lower

indexes meanwhile are more sensitive to event risk

buttressed by a backdrop of earnings, nfp, fomc

//

moderate risk on, though dips might still lie ahead


Reply With Quote
  #45 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

action may be sufficient for a revisit or LL, depends on EOM

only a few days to test and paint things a different color

this does not rule out a tech led dippish behavior still

//

EOM TBD the extent with Consumer, GDP into NFP


Reply With Quote
  #46 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

strange for nvda since the crucial dip has not arrived

ironic that short term optimism can prevent longer term

possible targets into no man's land possibly pre 2024 pricing

//

nasdaq is pending earnings mixed in with possible weakness


Reply With Quote
  #47 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

hope floats onward with anticipation, and without concrete follow through

the next hour would seal the month and that signal closing with possibility

that vol fade has since branched and revived flagging away from stability

//

still full of uncertainty with some fully fledged optimism awaiting confirmation


Reply With Quote
  #48 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

as an experiment, have been following the counter trend reaction

with FOMC front run and solid data as a lagging indicator

would be TBD on rates and any tariff expectations

//

sidelines is still an option here into uncertainty


Reply With Quote
  #49 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

high risk early entry pre FOMC with a developed pattern

rising wedge with initial high volume into lower tapering

also somewhat rough measured move assuming symmetry

//

sidelines best in FOMC anticipation but some pessimism observed


Reply With Quote
  #50 (permalink)
handspin
boston ma
 
Posts: 559 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123

bit of delayed response, but post fomc we are certain about uncertainty

if that makes sense, darks in it, vol is playing nice and carries as well

this is even without the encouragement of lower yields so be it

//

seems like the sell in may mantra will still have to prove itself


Reply With Quote




Last Updated on May 8, 2025


© 2025 NexusFi®, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Downloads - Top
no new posts