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Updated May 13, 2025
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April 22nd, 2025, 04:44 PM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
one thing about the rest of world is they have bounced back
some even more so than the domestic markets through earnings
cautious optimism in some respects, aside from china-us relations
//
pending foreign relations where the us is actually most vulnerable
April 23rd, 2025, 10:42 AM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
move deals a test of resistance and starts repositioning
some uncertainty removed, but a lot still remains medium term
additional range from carry and yield considerations with high vol
//
ongoing conditionals and earnings, possible retests below
April 24th, 2025, 10:40 AM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
big push, just saw vol reacting after failing resistance
might not get that extra dip op as darks went big
energy is not as enthusiastic here yield are
//
this week shows supportive action without dipping
April 25th, 2025, 12:55 PM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
vol is rather balanced, though the tilt here is for lower
indexes meanwhile are more sensitive to event risk
buttressed by a backdrop of earnings, nfp , fomc
//
moderate risk on , though dips might still lie ahead
April 28th, 2025, 12:02 PM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
action may be sufficient for a revisit or LL, depends on EOM
only a few days to test and paint things a different color
this does not rule out a tech led dippish behavior still
//
EOM TBD the extent with Consumer, GDP into NFP
April 29th, 2025, 01:42 PM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
strange for nvda since the crucial dip has not arrived
ironic that short term optimism can prevent longer term
possible targets into no man's land possibly pre 2024 pricing
//
nasdaq is pending earnings mixed in with possible weakness
April 30th, 2025, 02:59 PM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
hope floats onward with anticipation, and without concrete follow through
the next hour would seal the month and that signal closing with possibility
that vol fade has since branched and revived flagging away from stability
//
still full of uncertainty with some fully fledged optimism awaiting confirmation
May 2nd, 2025, 02:47 PM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
as an experiment, have been following the counter trend reaction
with FOMC front run and solid data as a lagging indicator
would be TBD on rates and any tariff expectations
//
sidelines is still an option here into uncertainty
May 5th, 2025, 03:54 PM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
high risk early entry pre FOMC with a developed pattern
rising wedge with initial high volume into lower tapering
also somewhat rough measured move assuming symmetry
//
sidelines best in FOMC anticipation but some pessimism observed
May 8th, 2025, 11:49 AM
boston ma
Posts: 560 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 13
Thanks Received: 123
bit of delayed response, but post fomc we are certain about uncertainty
if that makes sense, darks in it, vol is playing nice and carries as well
this is even without the encouragement of lower yields so be it
//
seems like the sell in may mantra will still have to prove itself
Last Updated on May 13, 2025