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Half-life over Cointegration?


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 ZB23 
Atlanta Metro Area
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Rithmic, Sierra, Python
Broker: Ironbeam
Trading: Futures
Frequency: Every few weeks
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 171 since Feb 2017
Thanks Given: 65
Thanks Received: 219

In spread trading, I learned that two conditions are necessary:

1. Correlation between the legs.
2. Cointegration of the spread.

Internalized that as gospel. I recently learned that the half-life can also be considered.

Half-life is a measure of how long it takes for a spread to revert to its mean.

For example, if a trader is considering a trade where the legs are correlated, but the spread fails the cointegration test, he can still take the trade if the half-life meets his requirements. If the half-life is relatively short, then he would take the trade.

Furthermore, the half-life can be used to gauge whether to exit a position (e.g., stop-loss).


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Last Updated on April 24, 2025


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