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Search: Posts Made By: Big Mike
Forum: Commodities June 13th, 2014, 08:49 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 6,986
Posted By Big Mike
Also slightly vary timeframe. Change from 1000...

Also slightly vary timeframe. Change from 1000 tick chart to 1100 for example, assuming tick data. If results are wildly different, than likely curve fit.

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Forum: Commodities June 13th, 2014, 08:47 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 6,986
Posted By Big Mike
Can be easy to prove. Test against QM or USO. If...

Can be easy to prove. Test against QM or USO. If results are outside in multiple metrics, it's likely over fit.

Personally, I would test this against dozens of symbols and analyze the results. I...
Forum: Commodities June 13th, 2014, 08:29 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 6,986
Posted By Big Mike
700 trades in four years is really easy to curve...

700 trades in four years is really easy to curve fit. What makes you think you didn't?

Sent from my LG Optimus G Pro
Forum: Commodities June 13th, 2014, 06:46 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 6,986
Posted By Big Mike
I've been trading for nearly 20 years, and traded...

I've been trading for nearly 20 years, and traded CL for several years in recent memory.

If you want feedback, you need to post more detail. A screenshot of a backtested equity curve isn't going...
Forum: Commodities June 13th, 2014, 10:06 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 6,986
Posted By Big Mike
It's not hard to generate an equity curve in...

It's not hard to generate an equity curve in backtesting like that.

But the real trick is completely out of sample walk forward testing (you can only test against it once, after that it is...
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