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Showing results 1 to 14 of 14
Search: Posts Made By: jstnbrg
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds February 9th, 2011, 12:54 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Based on price action before the ten year...

Based on price action before the ten year auction, I think this one is going to go well.
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 26th, 2011, 04:28 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
I'm not sure I understand the question, but I'll...

I'm not sure I understand the question, but I'll take it at face value. The US is borrowing $35 billion in this auction. In two years, most likely the US will just borrow it again, plus whatever...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 16th, 2011, 09:55 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
It's sure what I would do. I don't think I'd...

It's sure what I would do. I don't think I'd have much choice.

This probably goes without saying but I'll say it anyway: there should be a control period. For example, assuming there is a...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 16th, 2011, 06:11 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Final Update auction results 2008-2011

Here's the final update, all non TIPS coupon auction results from 2008 to 2011. The dates are all proofread, the numbers are not. The dates are what are most important IMO.
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 16th, 2011, 01:16 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Auction Data

Attached is the most recent update of my auction results spreadsheet. It includes 2,3,5,7 year note auctions from 2008 through 2010. I'll probably finish this tomorrow, with 10 and 30 yr....
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 14th, 2011, 12:04 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Here are the Two Year Note auction results from...

Here are the Two Year Note auction results from 2008 through 2010. There has not yet been a Two Year auction in 2011.

It's late. I'm going to bed, I'll finish tomorrow.
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 13th, 2011, 10:32 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
I'll do it. The two year note auction is not the...

I'll do it. The two year note auction is not the same week as the 3/10/30. I'm thinking you want that one because it corresponds to ZT?
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 13th, 2011, 11:44 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
I completely agree. A known pattern of events...

I completely agree. A known pattern of events repeated on a schedule.
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 13th, 2011, 11:34 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Ok, but it will take awhile, and I'm trading now....

Ok, but it will take awhile, and I'm trading now. I'll work on it this evening. On another topic, if you think floor pivots give good entry levels, I'll definitely take a look at them.
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 13th, 2011, 11:10 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Bid to cover was high. The fact that the dealers...

Bid to cover was high. The fact that the dealers were aggressive suggests that they were very short going into the auction. Consistent w/ my speculation that Fed was buying a lot of Notes prior to...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 13th, 2011, 11:04 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
The market went up solidly after the auction. ...

The market went up solidly after the auction. IMO that is what is "supposed" to happen. See previous post about dealers moving the market where they need it to go. So results were as expected.
...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 12th, 2011, 08:41 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
I may be the only floor trader who never used...

I may be the only floor trader who never used pivot points. Writing them on a blank trading card was too much like work :-). I'm probably the most successful totally unprepared trader in the...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 12th, 2011, 01:40 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Good auction results.

There was huge buying in ZN around the 120 01 to 120 005 level at a time when I would have expected to see mostly selling (pre-hedging). Maybe QE before the auction? Consistent with the strong...
Forum: Treasury Notes and Bonds January 11th, 2011, 10:49 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 8,635
Posted By jstnbrg
Refunding auctions start today

3 yr, 10 yr, and 30 yr auctions this week. I expect market to be under pressure until Thursday or Friday. Short term lows often made on these auctions, especially the 3/10/30 auctions.
Showing results 1 to 14 of 14

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