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Search: Posts Made By: josh
Forum: Trading Journals August 20th, 2013, 09:15 AM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Profiler, sharing this here because I like your...

Profiler, sharing this here because I like your thread, I hope you don't mind.

Sometimes some of the most obvious ways to look at the data yield insight. This is the cash index but I'm pretty...
Forum: Trading Journals August 19th, 2013, 11:04 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Some people like using the NYSE TICK, others do...

Some people like using the NYSE TICK, others do not. I am in the "use it when it's useful" camp. Here it is for today. Hardly could get above zero the whole day, hung out mostly between -500 and...
Forum: Trading Journals August 14th, 2013, 02:52 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
I was positioned short and thankfully we got the...

I was positioned short and thankfully we got the break. I really dislike days like today--I don't like to trade for 4-5 ticks at a time but the market has been so directionally weak that it's either...
Forum: Trading Journals August 14th, 2013, 01:19 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
If you are trading right now and waiting for a...

If you are trading right now and waiting for a break of 83.75 for new lows, I hope you are laughing as hard as I am. It's like watching two slugs fight. Times like this, I wish I had a few hundred...
Forum: Trading Journals August 7th, 2013, 11:27 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
I was looking to short in the morning, but I...

I was looking to short in the morning, but I really thought we'd see a 90 or 91 print so I was not short when the market came down to 83. I had 82.25 to 83.50 marked, and to be honest I chopped...
Forum: Trading Journals August 2nd, 2013, 11:59 AM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
What adds to the lack of conviction is that the...

What adds to the lack of conviction is that the Dow is trading almost entirely below yesterday's range, whereas the S&P has not even touched yesterday's low and is in range, and the N100 is trading...
Forum: Trading Journals August 1st, 2013, 08:53 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
I'm not advocating straying too far from plan,...

I'm not advocating straying too far from plan, but this is a great example of how you are identifying context and making decisions based on it, instead of just buying/selling at a LVN or HVN. In the...
Forum: Trading Journals August 1st, 2013, 08:42 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
The best location was obviously lower and a bit...

The best location was obviously lower and a bit earlier in the 96s, but as the shot below shows, at this point there was a VPOC shift higher and a bit of a double distribution, albeit not the...
Forum: Trading Journals July 31st, 2013, 10:50 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
No worries mate. Today was also my worst day and...

No worries mate. Today was also my worst day and only day I would call "bad" in July, too bad we didn't end it better. It's FOMC day, and the liquidity is just absolute shit after the announcement,...
Forum: Trading Journals July 24th, 2013, 10:10 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
woohoo!

woohoo!
Forum: Trading Journals July 23rd, 2013, 10:10 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
I considered a long at 90.50-.75 as well. But I...

I considered a long at 90.50-.75 as well. But I wanted to first see some sign of buying. There was buying as the volume certainly picked up there, but it really kind of blew through the NVPOC--at...
Forum: Trading Journals July 18th, 2013, 08:55 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Nice trade buddy!

Nice trade buddy!
Forum: Trading Journals July 17th, 2013, 09:04 AM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
I see a good case for a bounce from 70, as it is...

I see a good case for a bounce from 70, as it is the most fair price of the entire distribution. But HV prices are prices that have been accepted previously, and while they are sometimes good for a...
Forum: Trading Journals July 16th, 2013, 11:40 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Profiler, good job scratching your longs. This...

Profiler, good job scratching your longs. This is the 3 day Thursday-Monday prior to today. What do you see in terms of trade location based on this?

http://screencast.com/t/eeUcnUFLw
Forum: Trading Journals July 16th, 2013, 11:30 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
This is because the September ESU contract's...

This is because the September ESU contract's actual high on May 22 was indeed 1680.25. But Profiler is using back-adjusted data prior to the June->Sept roll, so his May 22 data is from ESM, but...
Forum: Trading Journals July 15th, 2013, 04:20 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Maybe the question is, what guidance from...

Maybe the question is, what guidance from Bernanke on Wednesday (and somewhat Thursday I suppose) will they hear? Since Bernanke's flub-a-dub in May, the fed had to pull out all the stops to get...
Forum: Trading Journals July 15th, 2013, 04:14 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
72 was a great spot to buy, as was 70. But it's...

72 was a great spot to buy, as was 70. But it's all relative--maybe good spot, but is the market "singing" to you? I did not take any trades today either. Just no volume, no range, and no real...
Forum: Trading Journals July 15th, 2013, 10:02 AM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
How about the undisputed S&P cash high of 1687.18...

How about the undisputed S&P cash high of 1687.18 :)
Forum: Trading Journals July 14th, 2013, 12:17 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
And the thing is, on any other day it might very...

And the thing is, on any other day it might very well have played out that way. It doesn't mean anything really about your read, it just means that the randomness of the market happened to play out...
Forum: Trading Journals July 14th, 2013, 12:15 AM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Ditto -- I bought 67.50 around 12:15 ET. If you...

Ditto -- I bought 67.50 around 12:15 ET. If you look at how BA was pulling down the dow at that time, yet how the S&P just would NOT break down, then it's clear ES wanted to try for a new high. ...
Forum: Trading Journals June 27th, 2013, 10:16 AM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
You sure about that?

You sure about that?
Forum: Trading Journals May 23rd, 2013, 10:53 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Nice job P. Especially nice how you shorted and...

Nice job P. Especially nice how you shorted and lost, and then had the objectivity to then buy soon after for a winner. It may seem small, but that takes seeing what's happening, instead of seeing...
Forum: Trading Journals May 23rd, 2013, 12:58 AM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
Looks like you had a good day, nice job!

Looks like you had a good day, nice job!
Forum: Trading Journals May 20th, 2013, 09:59 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
http://screencast.com/t/0nvPOmAmKHUL The...

http://screencast.com/t/0nvPOmAmKHUL

The overnight market is balanced most of the session, then around 8:00 drops down and then back up, continuing into the open. At this point the structure has...
Forum: Trading Journals May 17th, 2013, 11:09 PM
Replies: 625
Views: 98,355
Posted By josh
I too was surprised that 55 didn't hold better,...

I too was surprised that 55 didn't hold better, and even more surprised when 54.25 didn't hold. That was tricky to say the least. Markets are very good at fooling people; how many shorts at that...
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