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Search: Posts Made By: josh
Forum: Traders Hideout April 7th, 2015, 04:06 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
Too bad you feel like people are picking on you....

Too bad you feel like people are picking on you. Part of having confidence in what you do is being able to be open minded enough to hear others criticize a belief or process. Often people who...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 7th, 2015, 02:53 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
Adam recently wrote a great post...

Adam recently wrote a great post (http://adamhgrimes.com/blog/most-important-question/) on managing bias, with the question "how do you know when you're wrong?" When a market has gone up sharply,...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 7th, 2015, 01:04 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
As one of the biggest proponents of auction...

As one of the biggest proponents of auction theory for years on this site, hopefully you understand I'm playing devil's advocate and that I'm not arguing for any side here.

No one is arguing that...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 7th, 2015, 12:55 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
My methodology makes extensive use of some of...

My methodology makes extensive use of some of these same "landmarks," and I use context as an edge; for example, on some days a val/vah or a vwap make great points of reference, on other days I...
Forum: Traders Hideout April 7th, 2015, 09:33 AM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
While I actually agree with your premise that...

While I actually agree with your premise that certain prices are more significant than others, your example is a model for a random, unscientific approach. Whereas Adam has done many studies and...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 31st, 2015, 11:00 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
Yes, but the baseline drift is to measure against...

Yes, but the baseline drift is to measure against some alternative to buy-and-hold, or sell-and-hold as the case may be. The purpose (again, as I understand it, Adam may differ in his thinking...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 31st, 2015, 05:23 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
This is one way to think about it, don't know if...

This is one way to think about it, don't know if Adam would do the same: in the case you mention, crude, you would have been short-only if you had a position over the last year or so, so that would...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 20th, 2015, 11:39 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
16 randomly generated charts in excel using...

16 randomly generated charts in excel using RAND(). Quite amazing to see the trends. These were the first 16 I generated and not cherry picked. Only maybe 2 look a little "random"; the rest look...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 20th, 2015, 03:04 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 73,657
Posted By josh
Watched it, and really enjoyed it. His analysis...

Watched it, and really enjoyed it. His analysis reminds me very much of steenbab's quantitative work; he shows, for example, that the average return following weakness is greater than that following...
Showing results 1 to 9 of 9

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