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Search: Posts Made By: RM99

Forum: Commodities

March 23rd, 2011, 02:51 AM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

any time you make a decision based on...

any time you make a decision based on anticipation or what might happen in the future, you are speculating.

I don't care if you're trying to flip a house, if you're getting a business loan...

Forum: Commodities

March 21st, 2011, 10:46 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

Sorry that we hijacked this thread. Back on...

Sorry that we hijacked this thread. Back on topic.....oil prices are crazy eh?

Forum: Commodities

March 21st, 2011, 10:44 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

The farmer is a perfect example. He "locks in"...

The farmer is a perfect example. He "locks in" price at the current price and his only risk is the spread between the current contract and the month he bought it.

A true hedge is an exchange of...

Forum: Commodities

March 21st, 2011, 10:17 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

Again, I see buying at a price now because you're...

Again, I see buying at a price now because you're anticipating a price increase as speculation, regardless of your motives.

I see selling an equal amount of BZ for every CL you buy as a true...

Forum: Commodities

March 21st, 2011, 09:36 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

We're def talking semantics, but here's why I...

We're def talking semantics, but here's why I think we're talking apples/oranges. We both agree on what a "typical" sense of a speculator is.

I agree with you that buying or locking in with a...

Forum: Commodities

March 21st, 2011, 09:08 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

Buying now because you think prices will increase...

Buying now because you think prices will increase is not hedging, it's speculating.

Buying an option in both directions (where you can lose a little bit of money on the cancelled option, but save...

Forum: Commodities

March 21st, 2011, 07:55 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

I think that's exactly what I said. Whether it's...

I think that's exactly what I said. Whether it's an airline trying to lock in at a lower cost (to reduce operating costs) or the speculator who's trying to make a $, both aren't buying based on the...

Forum: Commodities

March 21st, 2011, 07:14 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

Agreed, but the point of speculation is that he's...

Agreed, but the point of speculation is that he's willing to pay that price, not because that is its value today, but because he's anticipating a future increase in price and he's trying to lock in...

Forum: Commodities

March 20th, 2011, 01:51 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

All I'm saying is that for speculation to have...

All I'm saying is that for speculation to have significant effects, it's a sign of a manipulated market.

Imagine if we established an Organization for Food Exporting Countries (OFEC) and what it...

Forum: Commodities

March 20th, 2011, 01:16 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

I'm not blaming OPEC for all the price increases,...

I'm not blaming OPEC for all the price increases, you are correct...QE is definitely to blame for anticipated inflation, I'm simply talking about the recent events in Egypt and Lybia...where we saw...

Forum: Commodities

March 20th, 2011, 01:10 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

OPEC controls 44% which IS significant and you're...

OPEC controls 44% which IS significant and you're missing the point. SPECULATION is based upon anticipated supply/demand. Furthermore, even though a nation like the US is the 3rd largest producer,...

Forum: Commodities

March 20th, 2011, 12:10 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

It's also noteworthy and interesting that we...

It's also noteworthy and interesting that we export more food than any other nation, but manipulating food prices would seem criminal in the minds of not only a great deal of our own citizens, but...

Forum: Commodities

March 20th, 2011, 12:06 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

Thanks, I understand that it's fear,...

Thanks,

I understand that it's fear, anticipation and speculation that drive the prices, but the underlying reality that helps the frenzy is manipulation in the market.

Just as you stated...

Forum: Commodities

March 19th, 2011, 03:02 PM

Replies: 99

is it really worth it?

Views: 27,357

Posted By RM99

This is a great thread. One thing that's...

This is a great thread.

One thing that's not being addressed is the ratio of institutional or block trade speculators and individuals.

I agree that consolidation of speculation is harmful (in...

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