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Posts Made By:
stephenszpak
Forum:
Off-Topic
January 14th, 2012, 02:21 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Have you checked out this software? ...
Have you checked out this software?
OptionVue: Option Software, Education and Analysis (http://www.optionvue.com/index.html)
Forum:
Off-Topic
April 3rd, 2011, 04:33 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Supposedly Ferengi Rule Of Acquisition #247 ...
Supposedly Ferengi Rule Of Acquisition #247
Never question luck
Apparently everything below is true. I think there are even more double winners
but this is enough for now. I don't believe...
Forum:
Off-Topic
April 3rd, 2011, 03:58 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
When one talks of meaning, one is speaking in...
When one talks of meaning, one is speaking in spiritual terms. I certainly have views on this subject.
If anyone believes they only are this body and there is nothing after death, then there is...
Forum:
Off-Topic
April 3rd, 2011, 08:03 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
In real life, that is our own personal lives,...
In real life, that is our own personal lives, seemingly random events have occurred that have
resulted in profound changes to us. We see the events as random because we lack knowledge,
even...
Forum:
Off-Topic
April 3rd, 2011, 01:55 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
More information on coin flips from the Khan...
More information on coin flips from the Khan Academy in video form.
Probability (part 2) | Khan Academy (http://www.khanacademy.org/video/probability--part-2)
This is the video that...
Forum:
Off-Topic
December 13th, 2010, 08:21 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Basically I have no real idea. This might...
Basically I have no real idea.
This might not even be possible with a highly traded stock like GE. With
GE, or any number of stocks, there are large investors involved buying and selling,
yet...
Forum:
Off-Topic
December 12th, 2010, 03:25 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
We might be on the same page here. Maybe we are...
We might be on the same page here. Maybe we are just thinking of the
same matter with different time frames.
If one has a stock that opens at 50 and goes sideways all day and closes
at 50, to...
Forum:
Off-Topic
December 12th, 2010, 02:13 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Feedback in the markets does not necessarily mean...
Feedback in the markets does not necessarily mean prices move.
It is just feedback. We agree on this, correct?
Forum:
Off-Topic
December 12th, 2010, 05:41 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
(Sorry I can't fully join in with you on the math...
(Sorry I can't fully join in with you on the math stuff. I'm poor at math.)
See attachment.
Ok, assuming one bought GE stock at the peak at the far left and then sold it at the close at the...
Forum:
Off-Topic
December 6th, 2010, 08:20 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
I get it. I don't get it. I can see you've...
I get it. I don't get it. I can see you've thought about this more than I.
There have been a number of mathematicians before the mid 20th century that actually flipped a fair
coin 10000 times...
Forum:
Off-Topic
December 6th, 2010, 06:03 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Ok...so it's (1/2)^10 = 1/1024 for the first...
Ok...so it's (1/2)^10 = 1/1024 for the first idea and (1/2)^10 = 1/1024 for the second, correct?
I can see there is feedback here, but is it random? Some trading systems are profitable...
Forum:
Off-Topic
December 5th, 2010, 08:20 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
I found this on-line book today. I really don't...
I found this on-line book today. I really don't know if it's good
or not. Maybe it would have some value for some trader out there.
The Little Handbook of Statistical Practice
Gerard E....
Forum:
Off-Topic
November 1st, 2010, 03:25 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
I feel better now. ...
I feel better now.
===========================================================
Hey, if anyone thinks they're being alive on earth is just by chance, trying
estimating the odds of your parents...
Forum:
Off-Topic
October 31st, 2010, 05:38 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
as defined by J.K. Galbraith in his book "The...
as defined by J.K. Galbraith in his book "The Affluent Society". Cited from the chapter "The Concept of Conventional Wisdom":
"As noted, the hallmark of the conventional wisdom is acceptability....
Forum:
Off-Topic
October 31st, 2010, 04:05 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Thanks to those that responded. I don't know why...
Thanks to those that responded. I don't know why I asked about this but
it is obviously a more complex matter than I thought. Now I know how
Two-Face feels.
Before his transformation...
Forum:
Off-Topic
October 31st, 2010, 03:52 PM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Thanks Luke. I found some information below that...
Thanks Luke. I found some information below that is off-topic but might have
some use to someone.
Wikipedia has a number of interesting links in the "SEE ALSO" section of...
Forum:
Off-Topic
October 31st, 2010, 03:07 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
The thing is, that the outcome that is the most...
The thing is, that the outcome that is the most likely:
A total of 50 heads, with a total of 50 tails,
out of the 100 flips,
can arise from an extremely unlikely series of events
(that...
Forum:
Off-Topic
October 31st, 2010, 02:29 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
traderwerks wrote:So the percentage would be the...
traderwerks wrote:So the percentage would be the same for any sequence of 100 coin flips, heads, tails, whatever....
Forum:
Off-Topic
October 31st, 2010, 12:38 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
Thanks ArnieM. I don't have the ambition or math...
Thanks ArnieM. I don't have the ambition or math skills for that however.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
traderwerks
...
Forum:
Off-Topic
October 30th, 2010, 11:56 AM
Replies:
56
stupid probability questions
Views:
13,452
Posted By
stephenszpak
stupid probability questions
If a fair coin is flipped 100 times, what is the probability that it will come
up heads 50 times and tails 50 times, in total ?
If a fair coin is flipped 100 times, what is the probability...
Showing results 1 to 20 of 20
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