Forum: Traders Hideout
March 4th, 2014, 08:11 AM
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Replies: 33
Views: 16,459
So unfortunately you agree with me.
I would be...
So unfortunately you agree with me.
I would be very pleased to learn "new probability study" in which disregarding your previous probability, your future probability is 50/50.
Even more so, I have...
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Forum: Traders Hideout
January 26th, 2014, 08:24 AM
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Replies: 33
Views: 16,459
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Forum: Traders Hideout
December 22nd, 2013, 08:20 AM
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Replies: 33
Views: 16,459
I don't know maybe iI don't understand the...
I don't know maybe iI don't understand the experiment, but in statement:
Chernoff questions the Labor Day bias. In our example we know (doesn't matter how) that the strategy has win rate of 80%....
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Forum: Traders Hideout
December 15th, 2013, 02:54 AM
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Replies: 33
Views: 16,459
Randomness only says that in an experiment...
Randomness only says that in an experiment (system) with 80% win rate, you don't know which will be profitable and witch losing. So you need to take them all.
Let me try it one ,ore time.
I admit...
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Forum: Traders Hideout
December 12th, 2013, 03:19 AM
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Replies: 33
Views: 16,459
Really?
How is it possible to have a system...
Really?
How is it possible to have a system with 80% win rate and then believe that the chance of a next trade is 50/50?
If the next trade has a 50/50 chance and a trade after has also 50/50 and...
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Forum: Traders Hideout
December 8th, 2013, 11:22 AM
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Replies: 33
Views: 16,459
With coin flip you can have up to 100% success...
With coin flip you can have up to 100% success rate. It can be very very profitable.
Just change the rules make them simpler.
You flip a coin and if heads you go long otherwise short at 10 AM with...
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