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Posts Made By:
kevinkdog
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 9th, 2022, 08:37 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
You are obviously not a newbie with manual...
You are obviously not a newbie with manual trading, but you are a newbie with algo trading, so sorry for trying to help you out.
Your other thread asked about profit factors, and people posted...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 9th, 2022, 08:04 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
I see similar statements a lot "algo trading mean...
I see similar statements a lot "algo trading mean no emotions."
A word of warning - this thinking is not true. Not even close to true.
PLENTY of emotions when algo trading, they just might...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 7th, 2022, 06:25 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
I'll give two examples, maybe you don't do them...
I'll give two examples, maybe you don't do them with Market Replay (congrats if that is the case), but I know I have done them and probably everyone has too:
1. "The Do Over" - running through...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 7th, 2022, 05:51 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
Depends how you do the market replay test. It...
Depends how you do the market replay test. It can be gamed just as easy as normal backtesting.
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 7th, 2022, 10:14 AM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
This post is a great explanation of one of the...
This post is a great explanation of one of the reasons backtests can be garbage.
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 31st, 2021, 11:16 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
Why though? .3*3-.7*1 = .2 Expectancy ...
Why though?
.3*3-.7*1 = .2 Expectancy
(.3*3-.7*1)/1 = .2 Van Tharp Expectancy
If that is after accounting for slippage and commission, I'd say that is pretty good!
And I always fear...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 31st, 2021, 08:41 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
Think trend following with a relatively small...
Think trend following with a relatively small stop. Gets stopped out quite a bit, but every once in a while catches a big trend.
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 27th, 2021, 08:20 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
I have quite a few strategies for ES and NQ, but...
I have quite a few strategies for ES and NQ, but only one is an intraday strategy. Those are VERY hard to find.
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 27th, 2021, 07:49 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
My critique: I hate to be a downer, but I don't...
My critique: I hate to be a downer, but I don't think your goals are anywhere close to being realistic, to be honest. 60 trades netting 120 points a day is $6000 per day per contract. I've never...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 27th, 2021, 05:48 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
Not to belabor the point, but you say again 19/20...
Not to belabor the point, but you say again 19/20 is "great scripting," and actually that is not necessarily true.
A random entry and exit strategy, with 1 point target and a 19 point stop loss,...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 27th, 2021, 04:59 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
So I could fairly easily design a strategy that...
So I could fairly easily design a strategy that would win 19 trades in a day. 1 point profit each time.
That might sound impressive, but if it had 1 loss per day of 20 points... it would have...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 27th, 2021, 04:42 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
95% really should not impress you, since there...
95% really should not impress you, since there are many details I left out (you only wanted win%).
For example, it is easy to have a high 95% win strategy that loses money, or that performs much...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
December 27th, 2021, 04:20 PM
Replies:
54
Win Rate %?
Views:
10,627
Posted By
kevinkdog
I have some strategies that win 20% of the time. ...
I have some strategies that win 20% of the time. I have other strategies that win 95+% of time.
Not sure how that will help you, but that's my answer.
Showing results 1 to 13 of 13
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