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Fat Tails
Forum:
Traders Hideout
February 6th, 2015, 10:28 AM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
You could change option A to 0%. :)
You could change option A to 0%. :)
Forum:
Traders Hideout
January 31st, 2015, 02:59 PM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
Paradox caused by self-reference
I would be correct if the probability of selecting an answer is the answer itself.
Probability of selecting answer "25%" is 50%. I am not correct.
Probability of selecting answer "50%" is 25%. I...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 27th, 2012, 05:29 AM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
@Lornz (https://nexusfi.com/member.php?u=4480):...
@Lornz (https://nexusfi.com/member.php?u=4480): You missed the opportunity to start a thread on Probability 101, but you could start one on paradoxes. I think that we should not blend both subjects...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 25th, 2012, 07:12 AM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
We are getting into some textbook discussions. Of...
We are getting into some textbook discussions. Of course there are different concepts of probability. One is the axiomatic definition set up by Kolmogoroff in the 1920's, another one the probability...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 25th, 2012, 06:59 AM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
This is not about probability but about...
This is not about probability but about paradoxes. You deviated from the subject of the thread.
If you want to discuss feedback loops you could open another thread on how the work of Kurt Gödel...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 25th, 2012, 05:03 AM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
I think the problem is here that you are trying...
I think the problem is here that you are trying to redefine something, which is already clearly defined. This would be similar as calling a tree a whale. In that case I can see that there is a couple...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 25th, 2012, 04:53 AM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
Some more videos, plzzz..... :shocked:
Some more videos, plzzz..... :shocked:
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 24th, 2012, 07:29 PM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
You beat me by a few seconds by shamelessly...
You beat me by a few seconds by shamelessly posting a video, where I tried to explain it with my own words. That is unfair!
At least the guy in the video said the same thing, so I do not need to...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 24th, 2012, 07:24 PM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
I disagree with that particular statement. ...
I disagree with that particular statement.
Let us say assume that there is a 40% probability that I am wrong. In that case
-> the probability that I am right are 60 % (the numerical value is...
Forum:
Traders Hideout
March 24th, 2012, 01:08 PM
Replies:
67
Probability 101
Views:
39,350
Posted By
Fat Tails
I also would subscribe to the definition of...
I also would subscribe to the definition of Collins/Wikipedia. A random process is simply a process which is non-deterministic. The outcome of a non-deterministic process cannot be predicted, as it...
Showing results 1 to 10 of 10
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