Dark
Theme
Light
Theme
Register
Username or Email
Username or Email
Password
Password
Forgot
Signup
Forgot
Browse
Register
Downloads / Indicators
Articles
Upgrade to Elite
Unanswered Posts
My Posts
Return to Homepage
Today's Posts
Trading Reviews and Vendors
Futures Brokers Reviews
Traders Hideout (general)
Platforms and Indicators
Trading Journals
Elite Trading Journals
Psychology and Money Management
Off-Topic
The Elite Circle
Webinars
Trading Articles
Main Trading Articles Index
Article Categories
Help, Tutorials, How-To's
Traders and Trading Methods
Platforms, Tools and Indicators
Terms (Glossary)
Article Tools
List New Articles
List Recent Article Changes
Random Article
Most Popular Articles
Category Groupings
Wanted Articles
Most Linked to from Forum
Go to Page...
Quotes
by TradingView
>
Search Forums
>
Showing results 1 to 11 of 11
Filter subforums listed
Search:
Posts Made By:
Fat Tails
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
February 10th, 2015, 05:33 PM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
Yes, thinking can be painful. This thread is full...
Yes, thinking can be painful. This thread is full of thoughts. :sarcastic:
https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=174537
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 24th, 2012, 01:58 AM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
Fat Tails would be the result of positive...
Fat Tails would be the result of positive auto-correlation of price. You could also exploit negative auto-correlation of logarithmic returns. What cannot be exploited, is no auto-correlation at all,...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 18th, 2012, 05:23 AM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
Not at all off-topic. I fully agree. If the...
Not at all off-topic. I fully agree.
If the financial markets did behave like a coin flip scenario, there would be no point trading at all. You would simply engage in a random walk.
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 17th, 2012, 06:39 AM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
I am just fighting the idea of progressive betting
I just went through the pain of explaining this to show that progressive betting is not possible, if there is no correlation between consecutive bets.
Progressive betting works for card games, as...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 16th, 2012, 07:52 PM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
This thread is about a coin toss experiment. ...
This thread is about a coin toss experiment.
You cannot push your chances above or below 50% with a coin toss experiment.
It is impossible.
If you want to find an edge in trading, you...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 16th, 2012, 07:43 PM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
The Gambler's Fallacy Again
You are still falling prey to the Gambler's Fallacy.
The point is that you look at the day with the 5 winners and the 5 losers with hindsight. If you cut your size back after the first loser, than...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 16th, 2012, 02:41 PM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
In my judgement, you are a victim to the...
In my judgement, you are a victim to the Gambler's Fallacy.
A priori, that is prior to betting, there is no such thing as a winning or losing run. You will only notoce them with hindsight. If you...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 16th, 2012, 09:20 AM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
This is the old question of progressive betting...
This is the old question of progressive betting systems. Progressive betting implies that the outcome of the current bet somehow depends on the outcome of the previous bets.
If you have a card...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 3rd, 2012, 05:18 PM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
DavidHP: I agree, the strategy has no edge, the...
DavidHP: I agree, the strategy has no edge, the only theoretically possible edge would have been that the profit target is further away than the stop, if there was auto-correlation. But this effect...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 3rd, 2012, 03:39 PM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
I am sorry, I can see a lot of confusion. Let us...
I am sorry, I can see a lot of confusion. Let us have a look at the strategy again. You enter a position at random, then you set a profit target of 5 ticks another profit target at 10 ticks and a...
Forum:
Psychology and Money Management
May 3rd, 2012, 08:34 AM
Replies:
98
Coin Toss Experiment (Strategy)
Views:
33,787
Posted By
Fat Tails
It is indeed simple, but even simple things need...
It is indeed simple, but even simple things need to be understood.
:hehehe:
I know that I can be mean, but it is my vocation to stop all varieties of nonsense.
The experiment cannot have...
Showing results 1 to 11 of 11
What unexpected challenges have you encountered while trading on a "Funded Trader" platform?
Limited trading instruments
High platform usage fees
Lack of support or mentorship
Unrealistic rules and requirements
No significant challenges
Something else (discuss in thread)
View Results
Discuss Poll
futures io is now NexusFi
Trading Webinars How-to's
Trading Reviews & Products
Join Markets Chat waitlist
NinjaTrader Brokerage (Broker)
Ninja Mobile Trader (Server Hosting)
Apex Trader Funding (Prop Trading)
Tradovate (Trading Platform)
NinjaTrader (Trading Platform)
SharkIndicators (Trading Software)
© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
