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Showing results 1 to 14 of 14
Search: Posts Made By: Fat Tails
Forum: Traders Hideout February 5th, 2011, 10:25 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
The earth's climate is a complex system. Its...

The earth's climate is a complex system. Its exact evolution is difficult to predict, as the interrelationships are non-linear. Non-linear systems show temporary equilibriums that are inherently...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 26th, 2011, 10:01 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
I fully agree with your answer. It very difficult...

I fully agree with your answer. It very difficult to make a difference between the anthropogenic part and the natural part of climatic change. By the way, sun activity has had a larger impact on our...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 26th, 2011, 08:44 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
Victim of Availability Heuristic?

I downloaded a paper from the website of the Turtle Traders. It explains some of the main findings of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahnemann, the developpers of prospect theory.

Anyone citing the...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 24th, 2011, 08:22 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
Ivar Giaevar has never intended to make a public...

Ivar Giaevar has never intended to make a public statement on global warming, as he has never been interested in the subject. He made this statement, when he was on a panel discussion on global...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 2nd, 2011, 05:37 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
It is true that renewable sources of energy such...

It is true that renewable sources of energy such as solar or wind energy do not allow for continuous supply of electricity. Therefore huge investment into infrastructure is necessary including

-...
Forum: Traders Hideout December 21st, 2010, 10:23 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
This explains that the Camorra feels quite at...

This explains that the Camorra feels quite at home at New York.

Same latitude, and the pizzas are even larger.

Polar bears also like pizza, to be precise: frozen pizza.
Forum: Traders Hideout December 21st, 2010, 07:33 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
The global warming affects the gulf stream, which...

The global warming affects the gulf stream, which is basically responsible for the mild temperatures in Western Europe.

Did you know that the latitude of New York (40°43') is south of Rome...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 28th, 2010, 07:49 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
The Sorcerer's Apprentice

let me just answer with a poem from 1797:

That old sorcerer has vanished
And for once has gone away!
Spirits called by him, now banished,
My commands shall soon obey.
Every step and saying...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 27th, 2010, 05:40 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
Basically agree on this analysis. Just...

Basically agree on this analysis.

Just solving short term problems - even if there are serious - should not lead to ignore the longer term. This is usually what politicians do, because they want...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 27th, 2010, 11:30 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
I have visited the palm oil plantations in...

I have visited the palm oil plantations in Malaysia. If you visit Java, you will find no birds flying around. A friend of mine has contributed to preserving a piece of virgin forest in Central...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 27th, 2010, 07:39 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
I believe that your first attachment is correct,...

I believe that your first attachment is correct, as the earth has known warmer periods than the current period. However it exceeds the period of the existence of the homo sapiens so it is not...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 27th, 2010, 06:54 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
Thanks for the serious reply. My comment on...

Thanks for the serious reply. My comment on biofuels did not refer to algae. I just wanted to explain that landgrown biofuels are not a solution. Algae might well be.
Forum: Traders Hideout November 26th, 2010, 05:10 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
Renewables have created about 300,000 jobs in...

Renewables have created about 300,000 jobs in this small country, which comes close to 1% of the total workforce.

Planning and production of wind energy plants created about 100,000 jobs,...
Forum: Traders Hideout November 26th, 2010, 04:49 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 10,254
Posted By Fat Tails
The debate is guided by beliefs

Debate guided by beliefs

The debate on energy supply has since long become a debate, which is more guided by beliefs than reason.

-> nuclear power is rejected because of inherent risks and...
Showing results 1 to 14 of 14

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