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Search: Posts Made By: deaddog
Forum: Trading Journals July 27th, 2013, 02:33 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Looking forward on a webinar on how to throw a...

Looking forward on a webinar on how to throw a Hail Mary pass.:)

Seriously you will have to be careful not to encourage aspiring traders to take too much risk.

Your recovery seemed to consist...
Forum: Trading Journals July 26th, 2013, 09:44 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
I assume the graph shows actual performance. What...

I assume the graph shows actual performance. What would it look like with the postion size being constant, 2contracts per trade?

Can you break it down by strategy?
Forum: Trading Journals July 25th, 2013, 10:44 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Isn't that rolling the dice and going for broke? ...

Isn't that rolling the dice and going for broke?

Also isn't taking a quick loss with one contract to stay in the game a change from your original strategy?

I'm asking this because early in the...
Forum: Trading Journals July 14th, 2013, 07:34 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Kevin; It must an offshoot of Murphy's Laws that...

Kevin; It must an offshoot of Murphy's Laws that whenever you post trades you will end up in a period of drawdown. It has happened several times to me in the past. 2 months of easy trading and as...
Forum: Trading Journals July 6th, 2013, 10:09 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
The question I would ask is why take so much risk...

The question I would ask is why take so much risk on the first trade that you might not be able to trade for the rest of the day?
Forum: Trading Journals July 6th, 2013, 06:09 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
I have trouble with this. Actually having...

I have trouble with this.
Actually having trouble with the concept of dollars or risk per day as compared to dollars or risk per trade.
It sounds like you are taking a calculated risk (gamble?)...
Forum: Trading Journals July 5th, 2013, 10:20 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
The constant size to start. Another question;...

The constant size to start.
Another question; when you say the expectancy is $80 per day , how many trades per day to get to that number?
Forum: Trading Journals July 5th, 2013, 10:15 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Do you get a max draw down for each scenario?

Do you get a max draw down for each scenario?
Forum: Trading Journals July 4th, 2013, 09:44 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Not surprised at all. The problem I see with the...

Not surprised at all. The problem I see with the 2 contract position size is that the probability of winning the combine is probably very low.

Starting with a big position only works if you were...
Forum: Trading Journals July 1st, 2013, 11:40 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
What makes you think those strategies will work...

What makes you think those strategies will work on a 150K combine when they only had a less than 50% probability of working on a 30K combine?

With a 20 day 30K you are only required to make 7% of...
Forum: Trading Journals June 30th, 2013, 11:39 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Thanks for the work. I guess I won't be applying...

Thanks for the work. I guess I won't be applying for a combine anytime soon.
Firstly I'd have to master trading futures and secondly I'll wait until winter when I don't mind sitting inside all day....
Forum: Trading Journals June 30th, 2013, 11:31 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Why are you limiting yourself in this manner?...

Why are you limiting yourself in this manner? Increase your stop size per contract and decrease your position size. It's a percentage of capital at risk that should matter. Doesn't it come back to...
Forum: Trading Journals June 30th, 2013, 01:23 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
It will depend on the R/R ratio to some extent....

It will depend on the R/R ratio to some extent. How much do you plan to make for your $425 of risk. It would also depend on the expectancy of the strategy and the frequency of the trades.

I would...
Forum: Trading Journals June 29th, 2013, 02:48 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Have you considered adding size as equity...

Have you considered adding size as equity shrinks?

Your aim with trading size off the get go is to maximize profit. What about minimizing your losses?

There is a calculated stop of $425 a...
Forum: Trading Journals June 28th, 2013, 10:17 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Is that $425 per trade or per contract.

Is that $425 per trade or per contract.
Forum: Trading Journals June 28th, 2013, 09:11 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
So your risk as a percentage of your account is...

So your risk as a percentage of your account is 0.28% per contract and if you trade 4 contracts it is just over 1%?

Your max drawdown is 3%. So 3 losers in a row with 4 contracts and you're out of...
Forum: Trading Journals June 28th, 2013, 07:17 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
How do you determine your position size? Do...

How do you determine your position size?

Do you have a formula that calculates the size depending on what you perceive as the risk?
Forum: Trading Journals June 28th, 2013, 10:36 AM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
But what? Again it depends on your...

But what?

Again it depends on your objective. Are you trying to pass the combine or at least not fail, or are you practicing discipline by sticking to your system?
The gambling is done at the...
Forum: Trading Journals June 27th, 2013, 01:34 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
Relating to my own trading. I find that if I keep...

Relating to my own trading. I find that if I keep my winners greater than my losers I end up profitable. I’m neither a futures nor a day trader. I look for 1 to 3 risk to reward.

Like I said it...
Forum: Trading Journals June 27th, 2013, 12:23 PM
Replies: 460
Views: 103,998
Posted By deaddog
You have asked for comments so I look at this as...

You have asked for comments so I look at this as if I were considering having you trade my account.

The first thing I notice is that your losing trades are bigger than your winning trades. To me...
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