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Search: Posts Made By: jackbravo
Forum: Traders Hideout January 22nd, 2018, 06:54 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Ah..thanks for those tips. Makes sense. How...

Ah..thanks for those tips. Makes sense.

How does one know if a data source is reliable? I'm using Sierra Chart historical data (which I believe comes from barchart) and Gain top of the book data....
Forum: Traders Hideout January 18th, 2018, 05:16 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Thanks for the heads up. I actually starting...

Thanks for the heads up. I actually starting going through one of the courses on probability:

https://www.khanacademy.org/math/precalculus/prob-comb#dependent-events-precalc
Forum: Traders Hideout January 10th, 2018, 05:33 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Thanks Xplorer!

Thanks Xplorer!
Forum: Traders Hideout January 8th, 2018, 05:23 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Alright, I've created my first backtest study in...

Alright, I've created my first backtest study in excel using daily RTH data on the NQ.

1. Study performed on RTH hours of the NQ. Data is from from Sierrachart, starting in 2012, with...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 5th, 2018, 06:58 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
wldman Thanks for sharing the excel sheet, Dan! I...

wldman Thanks for sharing the excel sheet, Dan! I am looking forward to the explanations. So far, I can see HL, Range, Median, Open, and a 10-day average range.
Forum: Traders Hideout January 5th, 2018, 11:57 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Hey Ian - thanks for your time in discussing...

Hey Ian - thanks for your time in discussing this!

I wanted to see if I can calculate the probabilities based on the following assumptions:
1. Uptick and downtick are independent of each other...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 4th, 2018, 10:41 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Even more basic really. I have 1001 ideas I'd...

Even more basic really. I have 1001 ideas I'd like to test, and I don't really know how to do it in Sierrachart. So my goal from this thread to learn the basics of how to do it: how do I create an...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 4th, 2018, 06:54 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
I guess I don't know how the odds are calculated...

I guess I don't know how the odds are calculated in the first place. I drew a table of my understanding so far. I get that it's a 50/50 shot from flat to +2/-2, but how do you calculate the odds at...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 3rd, 2018, 11:38 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Ozquant - thanks for your input. I trade using...

Ozquant - thanks for your input. I trade using Sierrachart, so it's programmable. But I don't know how to mathematically ask the questions I have, and then how to statistically analyze the answers....
Forum: Traders Hideout January 2nd, 2018, 08:33 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Percent returns vs. log returns

I read Adam Grime's book, "Quantitative Analysis of Market Data: a Primer." It's a very short book, but has a great overview of market math for beginners like me. One concept he talks about is...
Forum: Traders Hideout January 2nd, 2018, 08:17 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 8,680
Posted By jackbravo
Learning statistical analysis: Step by Step

Have you wondered how people generate those numbers on market data, like 56% of Mondays closed up in 2010? Yea, me too.

One of my goals this year to learn statistical analysis techniques to see if...
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