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Search: Posts Made By: cpi65
Forum: Commodities August 22nd, 2011, 11:59 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
I don't have any problem with you questioning why...

I don't have any problem with you questioning why I wasn't trading it. I mentioned in another (unrelated) discussion on this thread about why I discard all fundamental analysis, and my view on...
Forum: Commodities August 22nd, 2011, 11:09 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
In the very beginning of the thread, I said "If...

In the very beginning of the thread, I said "If Gold prints above todays high, that does not invalidate my reasoning". That should have made it pretty clear that I did not rule out the possibility...
Forum: Commodities August 22nd, 2011, 10:43 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
If you had followed this thread to the letter you...

If you had followed this thread to the letter you would have more than recovered your loss from the first failed short with the profits from then reversing and taking profits at the new (at the time)...
Forum: Commodities August 22nd, 2011, 10:20 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
In the beginning of this thread I said: ...

In the beginning of this thread I said:

"And, basically, that is it. If Gold prints above todays high, that does not invalidate my reasoning. I believe we are in the final stages of the bubble,...
Forum: Commodities August 22nd, 2011, 07:31 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
While many others have made a packet doing so......

While many others have made a packet doing so... parabolic tops are the best kind.
Forum: Commodities August 22nd, 2011, 06:39 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
The reason I'm not trading it is because I don't...

The reason I'm not trading it is because I don't know the foggiest about the Gold market. I try to avoid trading on instruments that I don't understand.

And look, if you read the thread properly,...
Forum: Commodities August 19th, 2011, 09:45 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
Of course it is, apologies for the brain fart, I...

Of course it is, apologies for the brain fart, I was looking at the forward curve.
Forum: Commodities August 18th, 2011, 11:28 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
But Gold isn't in contango. the relevence of...

But Gold isn't in contango.

the relevence of the link I posted is that it could well be see as a precurser to something similar happening in Gold contracts, as the poster before me pointed out the...
Forum: Commodities August 18th, 2011, 10:36 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
FT Alphaville A name and shame policy from the...

FT Alphaville A name and shame policy from the CFTC? (http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/08/18/656651/a-name-and-shame-policy-from-the-cftc/)
Forum: Commodities August 18th, 2011, 10:17 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
When I think the action is no longer that of a...

When I think the action is no longer that of a "mania" phase, I'll say so in this thread. That could be $2,000 or $5,000.
Forum: Commodities August 16th, 2011, 05:12 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
So, my general take on most people incorporating...

So, my general take on most people incorporating a view on fundamentals is that it's pretty dumb. I only like to consider pieces of information from which, through experience, I have nurtured an...
Forum: Commodities August 15th, 2011, 09:24 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
in the next few days I will answer this post...

in the next few days I will answer this post properly.
Forum: Commodities August 15th, 2011, 06:41 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
a gentle update; the HL-> HH -> LL -> LH (or...

a gentle update;

the HL-> HH -> LL -> LH (or head and shoulders) pattern did emerge, but the action on the break was not hard and fast, and if you shorted either setup your trades would be left...
Forum: Commodities August 11th, 2011, 06:48 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
sorry mate, lost me on that one too

sorry mate, lost me on that one too
Forum: Commodities August 11th, 2011, 06:34 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
kbit hi mate... there have been a few rumors...

kbit

hi mate... there have been a few rumors doing the rounds about Gold recently - Paulson (though why anyone cares that his fund is down 31% I don't know - really what difference does it make?...
Forum: Commodities August 11th, 2011, 02:19 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
just some general commentary... 46235 ...

just some general commentary...

46235

In another thread about HH's and LL's, and if they were appropriate for tracking price action, I said the following:



And this might give me an...
Forum: Commodities August 11th, 2011, 02:03 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
yeah I looked at gold in other ccy's too, but...

yeah I looked at gold in other ccy's too, but can't figure out how to post it on here from a chart and too lazy to try and find ninjatrader indicator to do it :)

but as for new highs, like I said...
Forum: Commodities August 10th, 2011, 10:39 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
be careful about shorting here, it looks like...

be careful about shorting here, it looks like alot of supply is coming in at these levels, and I would say a pop above $1800 could be a painful rally if you are trying to cover your shorts along with...
Forum: Commodities August 9th, 2011, 07:58 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
It's interesting you mention the AAA thing, as it...

It's interesting you mention the AAA thing, as it sort of corroborates my take on Gold:

Ten years ago, even 2 years ago, the idea that the US would lose it's AAA rating was unheard of, Crazy talk,...
Forum: Commodities August 9th, 2011, 07:32 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
they are both interesting pieces mate - I...

they are both interesting pieces mate - I particularly like the comment from the guy from the FT - "Gold is only valuable because it's always been valuable - maybe it's a 4,000 yr bubble?"

One of...
Forum: Commodities August 9th, 2011, 04:50 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
and, one a more holistic note, some of the best...

and, one a more holistic note, some of the best trades that you can make are when the shit is hitting the fan. People are scared of selling into this rally, which is what makes it an attractive...
Forum: Commodities August 9th, 2011, 04:43 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
Right, well the price action reversed on me...

Right, well the price action reversed on me pretty much as soon as I posted this message, basically rallying from the lows of the day to finish near the highs. So that is not ideal in terms of...
Forum: Commodities August 9th, 2011, 11:23 AM
Replies: 65
Views: 17,886
Posted By cpi65
Gold - I'm calling the top

I will add a bit more later, just wanted to get it out there now.
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