Hi all,

Oblivion here.

I have a question, and please feel free to correct any of the things I understand to be facts below:

So since the treasury is no longer going to issue 30 year bonds and the current issue is due to mature in 08/15/2042, isn't there going to be really crazy sell off somewhere along the way to the maturity date as the players switch to 10 and 5 year notes?

Also, what is the US government's stance on 30 year bonds - why did they cease issuing them back in 2002(?)?

Thanks for reading!

0b|1vion 

Hi all, Oblivion here. I have a question, and please feel free to correct any of the things I understand to be facts below: So since the treasury is no longer going to issue 30 year bonds and the current issue is due to mature in 08/15/2042, isn't there going to be really crazy sell off somewhere along the way to the maturity date as the players switch to 10 and 5 year notes? Also, what is the US government's stance on 30 year bonds - why did they cease issuing them back in 2002(?)? Thanks for reading!

@Oblivion: Strange questions.

First, the last auction of 30-year T bonds, was on August 9, the next one will probably be on September 13.
Here are the results, the amount sold was $ 16 billion.

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2012/R_20120809_1.pdf

There was a period between 2002 and 2006, where the US ran current account surpluses and no 30-year bonds had been issued. But this ended 6 years ago.

CME has even created a future on treasury bonds, which is the Ultra T-Bond Future. It is already pretty liquid.

Even if T-bonds are no longer issued, there is no need to sell. A T-Bond with a maturity of less than 10 years becomes a T-Note and can be treated as such. Where is the problem?

Thanks Fat Tails!

That makes a lot more sense.
I think I may have misunderstood Fabozzi's wording...his texts are written in a very technical manner.