NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Ratio adjusted futures data


Discussion in Commodities

Updated
    1. trending_up 4,145 views
    2. thumb_up 2 thanks given
    3. group 2 followers
    1. forum 4 posts
    2. attach_file 0 attachments




 
Search this Thread
  #1 (permalink)
 solotrader 
Cyprus
 
Posts: 68 since Jul 2013

Has anyone tried them for backtesting? What are the pros and cons when compared to backward adjusted data?


Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
Iran Airspace Collapses 18 Points to 15.5% While Hormuz …
Prediction Markets & Event Contracts
Al Arabiya: US-Iran Draft Deal Within Hours Contains Hor …
Prediction Markets & Event Contracts
More Than Capable: Hegseths War Warning Validates $114M …
Prediction Markets & Event Contracts
Post-Summit Scorecard: $36M in May 15 Bets Settle Near-Z …
Prediction Markets & Event Contracts
Post-Summit Market Verdict: ES -1%, NQ -1.5%, 10-Year Yi …
Traders Hideout
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
NexusFi site changelog and issues/problem reporting
8 thanks
Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra
1 thanks
  #3 (permalink)
 
Fat Tails's Avatar
 Fat Tails 
Berlin, Europe
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Futures & Stocks
Posts: 9,887 since Mar 2010
Thanks Given: 4,242
Thanks Received: 27,117


You cannot perform backtests on ratio-adjusted data.


If you wish to perform backtests, you can use

-> single month contracts and adjust for spread and rollover gains or losses
-> standard backadjusted contracts and adjust for rollover spread (basically no adjustment)


Ratio-distorted backtest

If you use ratio-adjusted data for backtesting, you will simply get (completely) false results, as all gains or losses for the old contracts are ratio-distorted.


Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #4 (permalink)
 solotrader 
Cyprus
 
Posts: 68 since Jul 2013


Fat Tails View Post
You cannot perform backtests on ratio-adjusted data.


If you wish to perform backtests, you can use

-> single month contracts and adjust for spread and rollover gains or losses
-> standard backadjusted contracts and adjust for rollover spread (basically no adjustment)


Ratio-distorted backtest

If you use ratio-adjusted data for backtesting, you will simply get (completely) false results, as all gains or losses for the old contracts are ratio-distorted.

Thanks but why are so many using them? Are they - let us say - misguided?


Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)
 
Fat Tails's Avatar
 Fat Tails 
Berlin, Europe
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Futures & Stocks
Posts: 9,887 since Mar 2010
Thanks Given: 4,242
Thanks Received: 27,117


solotrader View Post
Thanks but why are so many using them? Are they - let us say - misguided?

Not everybody wants to perform a backtest.

And who tells you that many people use ratio-backadjusted charts? I have never seen one so far.


Reply With Quote




Last Updated on August 25, 2013


© 2026 NexusFi®, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Downloads - Top
no new posts