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Need help with drawing Fibonacci.


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  #1 (permalink)
 mpo7 
Winnipeg, MB , Canada
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Broker: I.B
Trading: CL,NG,GC,ZS
Posts: 46 since Oct 2014
Thanks Given: 57
Thanks Received: 43

In these weekly charts i have fib's drawn in from

( April 2012 ) to the swing high in ( Feb 2014 )
( Nov 2013 ) to the swing high in ( Feb 2014 ).

Which set of Fib's would be more credible in this scenario ? Perhaps both, none or ...?

I am new to using Fibonacci so id like to know how they are generally drawn. I am seeing patterns and am really catching on but some scenarios I am still unsure how its best done.


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  #3 (permalink)
 
cory's Avatar
 cory 
virginia
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Fib is subjective if it looks good to you eat it eh.. use it.


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  #4 (permalink)
 jta3 
Copenhagen, Denmark
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Fib Fib and Fib.!
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Posts: 299 since May 2011
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If you want to use fib, you have to do a lot, and I mean a lot of backtesting before you start to understand what fib is. It's like everybody can buy a piano, but it take time to find the melody. Don't trust people there say it's random lines. I think it's about 90 % or more there can't think that way.
If you want to use fib, then never use indicators. Indicators is a static mathematical frekvens on a dynamic market. Fib is dynamic on a dynamic market.
There are many combination.

Step
1: https://www.tradingview.com/x/FHRVqolk/

2: https://www.tradingview.com/x/J6RNQNqa/

3:https://www.tradingview.com/x/YFWufsbI/

Ongoing SP500: https://www.tradingview.com/x/XjG4HgOq/

I don't teach or preach.


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  #5 (permalink)
 
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 srgtroy 
Los Angeles, California Republic
Legendary  R.I.P. 1965-2023 
 
Experience: None
Platform: Sierra Chart
Broker: CQG
Trading: ES
Posts: 1,928 since Jan 2011
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mpo7 View Post
In these weekly charts i have fib's drawn in from

( April 2012 ) to the swing high in ( Feb 2014 )
( Nov 2013 ) to the swing high in ( Feb 2014 ).

Which set of Fib's would be more credible in this scenario ? Perhaps both, none or ...?

I am new to using Fibonacci so id like to know how they are generally drawn. I am seeing patterns and am really catching on but some scenarios I am still unsure how its best done.

Both are valid and using them together provides more detail but also more complexity. If I had to choose only one, I would choose the left one.


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  #6 (permalink)
 jta3 
Copenhagen, Denmark
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Fib Fib and Fib.!
Trading: Setup
Posts: 299 since May 2011
Thanks Given: 55
Thanks Received: 163

For the "Ongoing SP500" there hit first target.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/VW63CqBu/


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  #7 (permalink)
 mpo7 
Winnipeg, MB , Canada
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart
Broker: I.B
Trading: CL,NG,GC,ZS
Posts: 46 since Oct 2014
Thanks Given: 57
Thanks Received: 43

@jta3 Good job! You used a Fib measured move didn't you ?


Oh wait ..Never mind regarding the measured move , i noticed you just updated a trade you were in.

Back to the Fibonacci topic i noticed a nice bounce from the 38% retracement to the tick. I wonder what the probability has been over the past year that the es bounces off the 38% measured move target at least 4 points, with only risking a point. From the night sessions swing high and swing low?


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  #8 (permalink)
 jta3 
Copenhagen, Denmark
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Fib Fib and Fib.!
Trading: Setup
Posts: 299 since May 2011
Thanks Given: 55
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138.2 %.


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  #9 (permalink)
 jta3 
Copenhagen, Denmark
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Fib Fib and Fib.!
Trading: Setup
Posts: 299 since May 2011
Thanks Given: 55
Thanks Received: 163


jta3 View Post
For the "Ongoing SP500" there hit first target.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/VW63CqBu/

Last target hit.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/L4Dd0rmC/


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Last Updated on February 2, 2015


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