Blash 

Must see video.....seriously..... Ron Sent from my iPhone using NexusFi

Blash, This is a very precient video. Every Govt department (State and Federal), every political party committe, every senior management team SHOULD be forced to sit down and watch this, WITH a counter/statistical graph of Wuhan Day 1 to now. Italy Day 1 to now...etc and in contrast Taiwan Day 1 to now. Pardon the capitals, but I am livid at the way that political leadership and certain employers have been treating this issue.
Thank you
S

Awesome post @sixtyseven

Ron

sixtyseven 

South Korea, who have conducted 360k tests (26 positive / 1,000 tests). are among the countries which are closest to having identified all true cases. Taking an aggressive death approach of 7 days (it can be 2 to 8 weeks from symptoms to death) - their mortality rate is 1.5% (todays death toll = 126. 8,565 confirmed cases 7 days ago). Each day further out i.e 8, 9, 10 results in a higher mortality rate. Other countries with high testing rates (less than 12 positives / 1,000 tests) are Taiwan, Belarus, UAE, Vietnam, Singapore and Bahrain. Their combined mortality rate is 1.0% (9 deaths, and 912 confirmed cases 7 days ago). Small numbers to be sure. Using the same basis. US has 784 deaths and 7 days ago 9,415 cases. That's 8.3%. This points to a massive under capture of true cases. Assuming a 1.4% death rate and 15% daily growth it's 150k true cases today, if its a 1.0% death rate and 30% daily growth its 470k today. If a more accurate offset is 10 days, rather than 7 days from onset to death, then true cases are even higher again. I wonder how many of the actual unconfirmed (mostly mild / asymptomatic) are self isolating? The US is screwed in terms of containing covid. Due to piss-poor management it would seem the US's only hope is the discovery of a quick cure vaccine. in absence of a vaccine some will say there is a case to just to get on with it for the sake of the economy and take the 1.6m+/- deaths (assuming half the country is infected at 1% mortality), rather than being half-assed with a lockdown. For context 2.4m+ US die each year anyway. Covid just speeds that process up for many of them. Hard to say what the net effect of covid deaths is after you take into account those who's number was already up.

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Slightly more practical view on the matter

Posting here since we are seeing too much of doom and gloom and its good to see ones in a while positive side of the things

Its very informative and worth watching

Interactive and astonishing!..... Scroll down a bit and drag the big dot as you watch the numbers below.


https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/25/opinion/coronavirus-trump-reopen-america.html?referringSource=articleShare

Ron


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Refrigerated semi trailer for dead bodies, NYC Hospital.....

Video

https://www.nytimes.com/video/nyregion/100000007052136/coronavirus-elmhurst-hospital-queens.html?referringSource=articleShare

Ron


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I saw that too. Quite sad what the times are calling for now. We've become desensitized to it already I think, the whole country (world) is in a state of shock still.



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Blash 

Refrigerated semi trailer for dead bodies, NYC Hospital..... Video https://www.nytimes.com/video/nyregion/100000007052136/coronavirus-elmhurst-hospital-queens.html?referringSource=articleShare Ron Sent from my iPhone using NexusFi

Ron, I Thanked your post, not because I liked what it is about, but because we have to be realists about this, and sometimes it is stressful just to see what is the truth on the ground. I would hate to be in the position of the ER physicians who have to cope with this and try to keep people alive.

And as the doctor mentioned in the video, they're getting younger people, 30 to 50, who are seriously ill now.

Somehow, covid denialism is a real thing. I am not making a political statement here, but a simple factual and human statement. This is what is going on, and it is not safe, nor rational, to think it will just disappear due to its economic inconvenience. The economics are also real, and are also beyond tragic. We have to do something about both, or, frankly, there will be neither a medical recovery nor an economic one.

Bob.

We've been staying isolated (call it in Quarantine) here in Canada, for roughly two weeks now.

We've done our best to avoid outside contact beyond immediate household members (that were with us), when we first heard the news about Covid-19,

Aside from 2 trips to the grocery store, one of which included a trip to the liquor store, I think we've been vigilant.

I saw this shortly after we first heard the news, so I thought I'd share it here:



In hindsight I should have shared it sooner, but I thought everyone already knew this stuff.

Be careful, be vigilant, be well.

NYTimes

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html?referringSource=articleShare

Quoting 

The U.S. now leads the world in confirmed coronavirus cases. Scientists warned that the United States someday would become the country hardest hit by the coronavirus pandemic. That moment arrived on Thursday. In the United States, at least 81,321 people are known to have been infected with the coronavirus, including more than 1,000 deaths — more cases than China, Italy or any other country has seen, according to data gathered by The New York Times.

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Has anyone here tested positive for COVID-19?

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