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My trading this week has been way off par and I've been a little timid. Monday, I over traded and did not except the risk on a couple of trades. I had too many random trades, lacked conviction and was distracted by other things. Tuesday morning I again traded too many trades. I traded at areas that were not key areas and still made a small profit. Then in the afternoon I traded too many random trades fading the market and got hammered. I need to be more patience and trade off key areas. Wednesday I was real gun shy and trading while my wife drove my family to a theme park in Des Moines( not a good idea). Thursday I missed a ton of great trades but I still was not confident. I did managed to get back on track. Trading at new equity highs and having 16 straight days without a lose can make one feel that they know what trades are the winners. I think I was starting to feel this false sense of confidents and started over and random trading. I need to not forget that this is a game of probabilities. I also need to find the time to post my prep and trades every day I think staying in rhythm helps.
I had an ok day but I need to hold my stops at breakeven and watch my mistakes. The ES move within my morning prep range and gave several opportunities to make money. I was still a little timid and need to work on taking every good opportunity.
I had a bad week but manage to make a little money at the end of the week.
7/14/2010 +4.00 pts
7/11-7/14 +1.25 for the week with a lot of unnecessary commissions.
The ES is trading in a range of 1316 to 1302 with a micro bias down @ 1308.50 area. If we hold 1308 area and make a higher low in range expected to see 1302 break and a retest of 1295. If we don't expected ES to be range bound 1316 to 1302.
I need to go back to sim if I continue to take trades with no R/R. All my winners were high R/R and the losers were in coin flip areas with no R/R. Too many trades again I need to have conviction and stay with my conviction not flip flop around. The other thing I'm not doing is seeing the setup and taking the trade. I have missed good trades because of not getting filled, a delay in making the decision.
Yesterday 1295 held so we should retest at least 1314 area and possibly up to 1324. 1314 to 1295 could be our range today. We still have a lot of preasure to the down side. Also if we can't get up to 1314 premarket look for a pull back to 1305 to pick up some buyers before we move up.
My trading today was ok but I was busy with other things and missed two good moves. I need to focus on High R/R trades and quit low R/R trades that only seem to make money for Velocity Futures. Again good read on prep and average execution. I need to take all the setup and make some money.
The ES is moving up to recent highs and trying to push through 1328 area. The 1316 is bias up but there is an area at 1327 that could hold if we push up through first thing this morning. A break of 1327 and we should retest 1316. Best longs are at 1316 and 1327 and the first area to cover is 1341 for longs and 1316 for shorts.
The ES is gaped down and retesting old support from Friday at 1333 area. A hold of this level and we could retest overnight lows of 1322 and possible move to 1315. There is a micro area at 1325 that if it holds could move us higher again to retest 1333. A clean break of 1333 and we should fill this morning’s gap and test 1342.
Last week was very busy with doctor appointments and my wife had outpatient surgery Thursday. So I missed some post later in the week.