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The prior preference on seeing WC instead of continuation was due to the overlapping structure preceding it. But, always one to play both sides, if the retrace of the spike bottom is viewed as the starting point of W1, the C bottom was also W3, and there is confluence of W1 bottom, 618 retrace, back side of the broken trendline, and some higher time stuff I will post later. If I was going to sell, and I might depending on when and what it looks like, 94.50-94.80 is an area of interest.
I was going to short CL for a mean reversion after the ETH high was taken out, but they never got there until after the pit close and in this volume CL could run forever until 5:15pm.
I did short ES into the final few minutes, holding into the after market 15m for a 1.5 point move, and that had a minor 5WM down followed by a near perfect ABC back up. may short that market tonight and/or tomorrow as well.
R2 held at first touch for roughly 40 ticks. I missed it, was on the phone with friends. My back is fucked and I spent time today reconnecting with 10-20 year friends just talking, feeling younger briefly, maybe, but ignoring the ON open. I intended to short it, but now not interested as much. In the larger picture major support held.
I loved @Private Banker's presentation today. In my opinion the best so far on nexusfi.com (formerly BMT). But, I fell asleep in the middle of it. These muscle relaxers are knocking me out. And without them I am stuck. Dragged myself across the floor like I was parapalegic recently. Fucked up. Big sigh...
Tomorrow I am going to a chiropractor to see if there is any chance.
We want to succeed. And are committed to whatever. This is no longer about money, it is about challenge. Life does not exist without it. The word "Change" is possibly derived from it, I don't know. But life is discovery and motion and change.
In my 6th year I can see from an elevation that it took time to reach. It becomes harder to explain though.
What started as a belief in, "you mean if this crosses that?" Or, the progressions to the belief in mathematical nirvana?...
It becomes a connection with something deeper. It involves a higher thought, and a greater self-understanding, and perserverance. And for so long it sucks. The glimpses of it are more seductive than Sofia Vergara. And a lasting relationship as complicated to pursue.
Running replay simulations at high speed on the weekends is really getting me more comfortable with the new information of footprint, market profile and vwap standard deviations. I feel more in touch with so much more detail and explanation to whatever is happening. After as long as it has been, maybe two months, I would not trade without profile or footprint. Crazy that I made it 5 years without it even. It is a lot less guesswork to what the day will do, and where it might do it. Chart analysis is still as great a help as ever, but now has complimentary information to give more clues. Up, and more than average, every day this week.
I don't know how many days I have reenacted, I would guess 100? I took my laptop out on the porch last weekend and played at 40x while I drank beer and listened to some new music, because it was fun. And when the reading day comes, it is so slow in comparison that I get to have a good conversation with myself about where and when, and have the areas limited to only a few. But, if the market changes from what I expected, I also have the new strategy ready to go. Very comfortable this week, and I know the replay has a lot to do with it.
And, I stopped staring at footprint. It is there, but I am more interested in the bigger charts, and only watch footprint to pinpoint an entry. The 240m defines the big picture structure, the profile is next, defining structure deeper, then the 5m, and then footprint, or vsa and then footprint. Greater and greater detail gearing up for entry.