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Another bit of JK's finest reporting. Saudis Monetary Authority monthly bulletin shows deep pain from low oil prices. However, one chart caught my eye which showed that the reserves have actually started to recover a little which is likely due to the recent bounce we have seen in oil prices.
Oil investors had high hopes for this months international meeting of leading OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers, who will reportedly be discussing a plan to freeze global oil production. Rumors surrounding the meeting have been driving a huge rally in crude oil prices after they hit their lowest point in more than 10 years in early 2016. However, in a new interview, Saudi Arabian Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said that theres still a major hurdle standing in the way of a production freeze agreement: Iran. When asked if any global production freeze would need to include Iran for Saudi Arabia to participate in the deal, he said Iran would definitely need to be included. Without a doubt. If all countries including Iran, Russia, Venezuela, OPEC countries and all main producers decide to freeze production, we will be among them, Salman explained. Related Link: Macquarie: Oil Will Fall To Low $30s Again While Irans oil minister will be attending the April 17 oil meeting in Doha, he has been adamant that Iran will not agree to a production freeze. Shares of the United States Oil Fund LP (ETF) (NYSE: USO) are down 6.5 percent this week, as investors seem to be realizing that a global production freeze deal could be far less likely than it seemed just weeks ago. Disclosure: The author holds no position in the stocks mentioned. Image Credit: Public Domain (TS:BZETF;BZCommodities;BZForex;BZTradingIdeas;USO)
A bit late to post as this was released last week, but here are the latest monthly stats on US and OPEC production. US prod. fell slightly whilst OPEC rose slightly, with Saudi also higher MoM.
Mapped out the IV and HV for the Generic CL contract (CL1) to get a feel of where we stand at the moment in relation to the Historical Volatility over the last year. IV is currently around the 1YR average, however HV for periods measuring across 3/6/12 months are nearer their highs: