The CL Crude-analysis Thread

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Updated February 18, 2026

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The CL Crude-analysis Thread

April 13th, 2016, 10:20 AM	#1571 (permalink)
SMCJB Houston TX Legendary Market Wizard Experience: Advanced Platform: TT Stellar & Tradestation Broker: Primarily Advantage Futures Trading: Primarily Energy but also a little Equities, Fixed Income, Metals, U308 and Crypto. Frequency: Many times daily Duration: Never Posts: 5,241 since Dec 2013 Thanks Given: 4,584 Thanks Received: 10,523	Thanks @ron99. Very Interesting seeing in practice what you hear about on paper.

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April 13th, 2016, 12:04 PM	#1572 (permalink)
WilleeMac Prospect, KY. USA Elite Member Experience: None Platform: Sierra Chart Broker: Infinity Trading: /CL Posts: 687 since Jan 2012 Thanks Given: 309 Thanks Received: 617	I'm such a dumbass - listening to John Bougearel at TST, /CL production freeze does not mean cut or increase. It appears the rest of the world does not seem to understand that. Again, this coming weekend should prove to be interesting -William

April 13th, 2016, 01:33 PM	#1573 (permalink)
WilleeMac Prospect, KY. USA Elite Member Experience: None Platform: Sierra Chart Broker: Infinity Trading: /CL Posts: 687 since Jan 2012 Thanks Given: 309 Thanks Received: 617	Investors on Edge Ahead of Oil Producers? Doha Meeting - WSJ -William EDIT If you want to read the article cut and paste the below in Google search/ Firefox - it worked for me Investors on Edge Ahead of Oil Producers’ Doha Meeting

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April 14th, 2016, 10:47 AM	#1574 (permalink)
CobblersAwls London, United Kingdom Elite Member Experience: Intermediate Platform: N/A Broker: Bloomberg Trading: Energies Posts: 310 since Jul 2014 Thanks Given: 1,089 Thanks Received: 386	Wondering what your thoughts are on this question, as more recently John Kemp has been pushing the idea. He has posted this image several times too:

April 14th, 2016, 10:50 AM

#1575 (permalink)

ron99

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Quoting

A record number of rigs are drilling for oil and gas on the Arabian peninsula even as drilling in the rest of the world tumbles in response to low prices.

There were almost 290 rigs active in Saudi Arabia and the neighboring states of Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Oman in March, according to oilfield services company Baker Hughes.

The rig count has increased by 50 since oil prices started to fall in mid-2014 and has almost doubled over the last five years

Arabia sees record oil and gas drilling as rest of world slumps: Kemp | Reuters

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April 14th, 2016, 11:15 AM

#1576 (permalink)

SMCJB

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CobblersAwls

Brent Contango near an end?

Given that the next 12 spreads still average 30c contango each I think the answer is no.
I dont trade Brent but would wonder whether the June loading program is smaller than usual/expected.

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April 14th, 2016, 12:01 PM	#1577 (permalink)
WilleeMac Prospect, KY. USA Elite Member Experience: None Platform: Sierra Chart Broker: Infinity Trading: /CL Posts: 687 since Jan 2012 Thanks Given: 309 Thanks Received: 617	@CobblersAwls @ron99 @SMCJB very good info thank you -William

April 14th, 2016, 12:04 PM

#1578 (permalink)

SMCJB

Houston TX

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CobblersAwls

Brent Contango near an end?

SMCJB

Given that the next 12 spreads still average 30c contango each I think the answer is no.
I dont trade Brent but would wonder whether the June loading program is smaller than usual/expected.

I asked two guys who trade Brent/WTI and both said North Sea Maintenance

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April 15th, 2016, 07:32 PM

#1579 (permalink)

ron99

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Quoting

Just to note last 2 OPEC meeting w/ no agreement resulted in a $7 (in 1 day) and $6 (in 2 days) drop respectively

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April 17th, 2016, 02:44 PM	#1580 (permalink)
vk79 Michigan Elite Member Experience: Intermediate Platform: Ninjatrader Trading: NQ Posts: 158 since Jun 2009 Thanks Given: 265 Thanks Received: 85	No Agreement on Oil Freeze at Doha Meeting, Officials Say No Agreement on Oil Freeze at Doha Meeting, Officials Say - WSJ https://www.cnbc.com/2016/04/17/doha-oil-producers-meeting-ends-without-an-agreement.html

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