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i don't tend to agree with you, old chap - i adamantly agree with you. the market is uncharted territory and the level of economic mismanagement, debt-wise and moral hazard-wise, is not far behind. 5 years of qe/zirp contamination have undoubtedly affected inflation/deflation perceptions in ways that were never experienced by past or current policy makers. so , like you stated, years and decades of market stats have been poisoned for market application directly ahead as well as the way portfolio construction and carry trades are executed.