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Updated May 4, 2021
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January 29th, 2020, 08:51 AM
Linz Austria
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651
AntoniusBlock
So your current position is SX20-WN20? Is there a reason you chose new crop rather than the suggested May
contracts ?
Regarding this trade, I do not follow any suggestion.
Regarding beans, planting area will be reduced compared to current assumptions in my opinion. This influences new crop.
Old crop wheat is tight, there is a chance this tightness will be reduce by new crop.
Generally, contracts further out have the advantage not to be influenced by traders.
Additionally, I see this trade as a long term trade.
Best regards, Myrrdin
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Best Threads (Most Thanked) in the last 7 days on NexusFi
January 29th, 2020, 09:24 AM
Muncie, IN
Posts: 11 since Jan 2020
Thanks Given: 7
Thanks Received: 13
Kruger
Is anyone else considering this
spread trade : Buy May20 Soybeans & Sell May20 Wheat (
CBOT )?
The entry price is attractive (low) but this is somewhat risky considering the ongoing China-USA trade debacle. I am monitoring the movement for a possible entry early Feb.
Will appreciate the views of the seasoned traders.
Regards
I do not have a position in this particular spread yet, but I am watching it closely. I have been short soybeans for a couple of weeks, looking for an exit point on them as I think the downtrend is about over -for the time being-. I also recently went short some wheat as I believe it is over-valued.
So from a fundamental standpoint, this spread looks pretty good IMO.
January 30th, 2020, 12:54 PM
Tel Aviv Israel
Posts: 14 since May 2017
Thanks Given: 71
Thanks Received: 8
volramp
Considering to enter the following trade :
HE (Lean Hogs) -Apr20/+Aug20 from 13
Entered Jan21 at 12.7 closed today at 13.575
Nice $350 profit per spread in 9 days.
January 30th, 2020, 01:16 PM
Linz Austria
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651
volramp
Entered Jan21 at 12.7 closed today at 13.575
Nice $350 profit per spread in 9 days.
I sold this spread today. In my opinion, it is overdone now.
Best regards, Myrrdin
January 31st, 2020, 02:12 PM
Muncie, IN
Posts: 11 since Jan 2020
Thanks Given: 7
Thanks Received: 13
myrrdin
I sold this spread today. In my opinion, it is overdone now.
Best regards, Myrrdin
I also exited this spread today at 16.00. Hogs just getting hammered, looks like an exhaustion gap. Getting out and re-deploying capital to things with more return.
February 2nd, 2020, 01:22 AM
Tel Aviv Israel
Posts: 14 since May 2017
Thanks Given: 71
Thanks Received: 8
Considering this:
NG short June / long Dec 20
February 4th, 2020, 04:28 AM
new zealand
Posts: 5 since Aug 2017
Thanks Given: 0
Thanks Received: 2
NG got further to go down?
February 10th, 2020, 01:13 PM
Tel Aviv Israel
Posts: 14 since May 2017
Thanks Given: 71
Thanks Received: 8
volramp
Considering this:
NG short June / long Dec 20
Entered Feb 3 @ 0.432
closed today @0.494
February 20th, 2020, 02:52 PM
Vienna
Posts: 12 since Apr 2019
Thanks Given: 1
Thanks Received: 7
hi myrrddin
different spread - still seasonal...
thinking about LEJ20-HEj20.
any thoughts about short term behavior thru out the day?
interested in English or German reply
greetings SPOMI
February 20th, 2020, 04:05 PM
Linz Austria
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,688
Thanks Received: 2,651
spomi
hi myrrddin
different spread - still seasonal...
thinking about LEJ20-HEj20.
any thoughts about short term behavior thru out the day?
interested in English or German reply
greetings SPOMI
I just bought a first lot of HEM20-LEM20. In my opinion, hogs are undervalued, and Live Cattle are overvalued, regarding the June contracts .
I do not intend to enter the seasonal trade in the April contracts.
Best regards, Myrrdin
PS: As most readers here understand English better than German, I preferred to answer in English.
Last Updated on May 4, 2021