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Yesterday I was away from the screen on other business matters. Today the ES and Euro look to not be trading in tandem. The Euro has broke micro bias at (1.3320) and trying to start a possible leg down to 1.290. But if 1.3240 area holds we should retest the 1.3390 area again and possibly the macro bias at 1.3700. Wait for the Euro to make a failed continuation at 1.3240 or one trying to move up creating a lower high. Then that will gives us the direction to trade in. But I’m thinking shorts.
The Es is holding micro bias at 1132 and today should be are morning sessions line in the sand. If we hold then we should move up to 1160 and possibly 1195 area. If we break then the correction of the leg up should start. I've marked 1118(1/3) and 1108(1/2) for possible areas of retracement. I will be longs only if we hold 1132 and shorts only if we break it with exits at the retracement levels.
Today my prep was good and execution was ok. I need to hold my euro trades and get a little more from them. Again I had a hard time trading both. If you look at my trades you will see that the setups I missed on one I took on the other. I only traded until 11:00 CST and missed the afternoon.
Sorry I had a really busy morning and missed posting my prep. But here were my trades for today. The ES was moving pretty fast all day. I had a few mistake, a couple of late entries that I should have let ride and one trade against my rules. +.25
In the Euro I had an ok day going until I took a trade that was late in sequence and the Euro was stretched.
+19
The Eur/Usd is in a corrective mode breaking the upward micro bias at 1.3420 and sitting at 50% retracement of the last leg up. If 1.3360 holds we should at least retest 1.3420 this will then become the line in the sand. If we hold 1.3420 then down we go with first target 1.3250 and then 1.3150. If we make a lower high in range after retest or blow past 1.3420 then we are back up to 1.3527 and 1.3700.
The ES is gap up and moving up to test 1175 area. I'm looking for the ES to attack 1190 area. Possible areas to look for longs if 1175 holds at the open, 1163 or the gap close of 1157. If we break 1163 then we can short down to 1145 but use caution at 1157.
My Euro prep last night was good but there were no real pull backs while I was up to trade. Today the Euro should retest the 1.37 area. If we test and roll off of 1.37 watch the 1.357 area for a hold and possible area to base from for the move up to 1.38. If we break 1.357 then we are in a correction of the last leg up. Watch for the 1.3525 area it is around a 50% retracement of the last leg up and possible start of a new leg up.
The Euro and ES never pulled back this morning, so I’m sitting on my hands. One possible trade at the 1.361 area but it had lower odds with the Euro stretched this much. The euro is coming off 1.37 a little, so the line in the sand for more upward movement is 1.3610. If we hold 1.3610 we will at least retest 1.37 and possibly retest 1.38. If we break it I would expect to retrace to the 1.3530 area.
The Euro and ES are both corrective after yesterdays big moves up. Continuations short on the Euro are good down to the 1.3525 area. Watch this area for possible place for the Euro to base and then move back up to 1.37 and maybe 1.38. If we break 1.3525 then we should move back down and retest the lows.
The ES line in the sand is the 1177 area if we hold it we should continue up with 1215 target. If we break 1177 then keep hitting continuations down, watching the 1172 area for another possible area that could hold.
I had a good day yesterday with the Euro. I added to my core position and waited for key set ups. I tried to hold the position up to 1.38 but I got stopped out below micro bias. Then when I was sleeping it of course turned and moved to 1.38. That's ok I'll get the next big move. I'm going to work on holding at least a little of my core position.
The Euro is up again and testing an inside high at 1.38. With this huge move up I would expect the Euro to retrace at least 50% of this move taking us down to 1.37. But if we base before 1.37 with failed continuations down I will get on board for 1.395. I will be short only until this happens using caution at 1.37.
Yesterday should have been a better day but it still ended up OK. I sleep through the move to 1.38 and got a few trades off in yesterday's range. I need to work on patience and wait for the best R/R trades. I got into a few trades to early on both the ES and Euro. The early trades were my killer yesterday and almost all of my losses. I also had one mistake and the last short on the Euro my ninja locked up and I had to exit with my cell phone.