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Updated July 28, 2023
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September 19th, 2013, 01:30 PM
Cleveland, OH
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785
Here's the most important news for CL.
Quoting
Libya's crude oil production has recovered to nearly 40 percent
of its pre-war capacity with exports set to rise as major western
fields ramped up ouput after protesters agreed to reopen them.
Output has risen to 620,000 barrels per day (bpd), compared
with its pre-war capacity of 1.6 million bpd, two state National
Oil Corp officials said on Wednesday.
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Best Threads (Most Thanked) in the last 7 days on NexusFi
September 19th, 2013, 01:37 PM
Huntsville AL/USA
Posts: 54 since May 2012
Thanks Given: 80
Thanks Received: 26
turch
Raven said he had 1
DTE , even worse!
By the way, thanks for starting this thread Ron, you are a champion!
It was still a couple of weeks to expiry when I got the notice. But still, I would have been fine without the added margin.
By the way, I sent an email to Robert Pandy. He responded and removed the 1.45 margin multiplier within 30 minutes.
September 19th, 2013, 07:30 PM
Adelaide Australia
Posts: 15 since Apr 2013
Thanks Given: 83
Thanks Received: 10
Raven
It was still a couple of weeks to expiry when I got the notice. But still, I would have been fine without the added margin.
By the way, I sent an email to Robert Pandy. He responded and removed the 1.45 margin multiplier within 30 minutes.
If you don't mind, just briefly, what did you tell him?
Maybe I can do the same next time, instead of closing out positions.
September 19th, 2013, 11:10 PM
Huntsville AL/USA
Posts: 54 since May 2012
Thanks Given: 80
Thanks Received: 26
turch
If you don't mind, just briefly, what did you tell him?
Maybe I can do the same next time, instead of closing out positions.
I admitted that I was a little too concentrated in CL but that most of them had expired. I also explained that I typically sold options far OTM and that my closest Call was still $20+ away from the price of CL.
September 19th, 2013, 11:28 PM
Posts: 3,668 since Jul 2012
Thanks Given: 1,893
Thanks Received: 7,378
Raven
I admitted that I was a little too concentrated in CL but that most of them had expired. I also explained that I typically sold options far
OTM and that my closest Call was still $20+ away from the price of CL.
Do you recall the percentage of margin for CL relative to your account size? Was 25% of your account tied up in CL margin? 50%? 75%? It sounds like that might be part of the issue, although it probably is # of options sold, too. Maybe they take into account notional value of the options (which is ridiculous, but so is counting deep OTM options near expiration, and it sounds like they do that already).
September 21st, 2013, 12:23 PM
Cleveland, OH
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785
kevinkdog
Do you recall the percentage of margin for CL relative to your account size? Was 25% of your account tied up in CL margin? 50%? 75%? It sounds like that might be part of the issue, although it probably is # of options sold, too. Maybe they take into account notional value of the options (which is ridiculous, but so is counting deep
OTM options near expiration, and it sounds like they do that already).
I had one place tell me that they compute what would happen to your account if futures moved 2 standard deviations the next day. I quit trading there.
That would be a 35 drop or 56 rise in CLX13.
I suspect that OX doesn't go quite that far.
My numbers were misleading. That drop or rise was for the next 365 days. If I change the days to 60 then it is 16 down and 19 up.
These numbers are available at OX on the Trade Calc, Probability Chart tab
September 21st, 2013, 12:25 PM
Posts: 3,668 since Jul 2012
Thanks Given: 1,893
Thanks Received: 7,378
ron99
I had one place tell me that they compute what would happen to your account if futures moved 2 standard deviations the next day. I quit trading there.
That would be a 35 drop or 56 rise in CLX13.
I suspect that OX doesn't go quite that far.
2 standard devs in one day? That is what happens when you put statistics in front of all realism.
September 21st, 2013, 12:37 PM
Cleveland, OH
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785
ron99
I had one place tell me that they compute what would happen to your account if futures moved 2 standard deviations the next day. I quit trading there.
That would be a 35 drop or 56 rise in CLX13.
I suspect that OX doesn't go quite that far.
My numbers were misleading. That drop or rise was for the next 365 days. If I change the days to 60 then it is 16 down and 19 up. For 30 DTE it is 11 drop 13 rise.
These numbers are available at OX on the Trade Calc, Probability Chart tab.
September 21st, 2013, 12:52 PM
Posts: 3,668 since Jul 2012
Thanks Given: 1,893
Thanks Received: 7,378
ron99
My numbers were misleading. That drop or rise was for the next 365 days. If I change the days to 60 then it is 16 down and 19 up. For 30
DTE it is 11 drop 13 rise.
These numbers are available at OX on the Trade Calc, Probability Chart tab.
That sounds more reasonable, I could see crude moving that much in extreme situations. Do you agree?
Last Updated on July 28, 2023