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Hey guys, just found this thread and so I hope to start contributing shortly. Quick question though, well actually two.
1) is anyone having any success using any kind of order flow on the Euro? I have spent some time with cumulative delta but came out empty handed. From what I have heard, volume in FOREX is garbage and the volume in the 6E is unreliable due to hedging.
2) I am struggling with how much weight/time to put on short term market development of the U.S. Dollar besides watching for important S/R levels. So I guess the question is how do you incorporate the dollar into your trade plan? The moves are pretty much inverse but maybe it diverges from time to time?
Not trying to derail the thread, so a pm would work to. Thanks.
Mate, all I do is trade the 6E, from an order flow perspective. 6E volume and DOM is very reliable (Hedging or not), forex has no central official volume indeed, and CD on its own does not mean much.
Take a look at my YT link, not in Englush, but that should give you an idea of one way (by no means the only one) to trade the order flow.
Man I really wish there was some English in there as the content looks awesome, but I just cannot get that much from watching a video without sound.
I have re-watched the order flow webinars surrounding CD, and I believe there were some key things that I missed the first time I watched them. So looking into that plus reading further into the beginning of this thread has helped. If you ever decide to do a video in English please let us know!
The trouble with CD is that it does not mean much on its own. It means something in relationship with Limit orders at that moment, and this will define absoption or not, but more to the point whether there is continuation or not.. More often than not, continuation is defined by a real intent, which means you may find useful to decide whether a CD is a result of "stop-loss" being triggered (position trading) or a true intent. From there you want to look at the order book to analyse the Passive vs active orders relationship.
seems like follow through from yesterday. working with the idea that we may test 1,1 before FOMC minutes today. it is -2 std from monthly vwap. short m6e.
well, after a few hours of taking "the heat", the market told me that it will not hit 1,1 up until now. i'm flat.
looks like Euro found legs at 1,106 level. FOMC minutes point towards fall rate increase or beyond. no position today..sim-ing it, limit maxed . pix to follow...Virtual machine not working.
edit: added pix. also note the european opening structure: test drive.