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I'm very confused about what you are trying to argue atm. Is it my view that I think it maybe possible for some genuise to derive or is it my words that it is "input"? Or something else?
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Oh, I see now, your issue seems to be this line of mine
I'm quite familiar with BS equation and how to back calculate IV from price you get from auction market or current market price.
Here I was trying to say, if you want to "predict" future price of option, you will have to "estimate the IV" for that calculation to work as you are trying to "predict option price", which you are "yet to get from auction market".
You can't work with one unknown to "predict or solve" other unknown. Choice of words may not have been clear back then, I hope its clear now? In fact, I think we agree on everything, from BS backward solving for IV from cmp to this statement of yours
Just to be more clear, I'm just trying to make OP aware of gravity of word "predict" with option price.