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St Paul, MN, USA
Posts: 200 since Jan 2014
Thanks Given: 131
Thanks Received: 207
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FWIW, here's an image of one of the tools from Hoadley that draws probability bands/cones. It's not the most beautiful thing in the world, but it has more inputs than some I've seen. I guessed at some parameters for the S%P 500 - 1850, 1.5% dividend yield and 14% annualized volatility.
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