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Id say the polls are a load of crap and the establishment are papping themselves, nearly everyone i speak to wants out. I think the common man definitely wants exit but Im not sure the common man will get what he wants look what they did to Ireland.
Thanks ratfink - but the pollsters should be professionals, no? Any person with a shred of statistical knowledge knows you need a sufficient sample size to be balanced.
Agreed, but I only treat them as interesting if they're quoted with an error factor. I think this vote is turning out to be a demographic sampling nightmare for most of them, hence my best guess at the source of the discrepancies.
Most people predict very poorly, have very little skill at doing so and don't understand this field (prediction) well at all so most do a extremely poor job at it.
I just started the book and am excited about it. IMHO what better to learn more about since we are in the business, literally, of predicting.
This about the book from Amazon....
Ron
...My calamity is My providence, outwardly it is fire and vengeance, but inwardly it is light and mercy...
The steed of this Valley is pain; and if there be no pain this journey will never end.
Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)