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Deetee’s DAX Trading Journal (time based)


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  #501 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Wednesday

FDAX

Gap: no
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: long

Results don’t look good for a trade.
Tomorrow another day

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  #502 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Thursday

FDAX

Gap: no
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: short

Prior day had extreme values +197 pts. So that reduces the historical occurences.
Results are good enough for a trade.

DAX long (paper) trade
Entry 11:00
Exit 12:00
SL 35 pts
Result 35 pts loss

Historical results with this setup: See snapshot

Let’s see



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  #503 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833


Friday preparation

To prepare for today I entered the extreme values for prior day OHLC and the day before OC.
No filter for day of the week, as not many occurrences will remain after adding filters for gap/IB OC.

GREEN IB

When I add a filter to a green IB (9:00-9:30 bar), the output looks like this:



RED IB

When I add a filter to a red IB (9:00-9:30 bar), the output looks like this:


There is a long trade between these short trades, showing how random things are, or can be.

Let's see how things look around 9:30 CET.

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  #504 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Friday

FDAX

Gap: no
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL near the prior day low
IB direction: short

Prior day OC had extreme values 353 pts red.
I don't have a fixed process for these extreme days yet.
I tried some things, but nothing solid/consistent came out of it.
Results are not good enough for a trade.




Not a good week, but at least the trades are giving statistics

Have a good weekend

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  #505 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Tuesday

As I’m on holiday I won’t have time to prepare the trade upfront some days. I will review later in that case. I now checked the data for yesterday and as Thu & Fri were both extreme Prior Day OC days, there are very few occurrences. I also don’t have a fixed process for these situations.

FDAX

Gap: yes
Gap closed during IB: No, but only 2 points above prior day high left. Closed around 9:35
Position price at 9:30: above prior day HL near the prior day high
IB direction: short

Day before prior day OC had extreme values -/- 249 pts.
Results are not good enough for a trade (not enough occurrences and conflicting short/long trades).

Tomorrow another day


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  #506 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Tuesday

As I’m on holiday I won’t have time to prepare the trade upfront some days. I will review later in that case. I now checked the data for yesterday and as Thu & Fri were both extreme Prior Day OC days, there are very few occurrences. I also don’t have a fixed process for these situations.

FDAX

Gap: yes up
Gap closed during IB: No, but only 2 points above prior day high left. Closed around 9:35
Position price at 9:30: above prior day HL near the prior day high
IB direction: short

Day before prior day OC had extreme values -/- 249 pts.
Results are not good enough for a trade (not enough occurrences and conflicting short/long trades).

Tomorrow another day


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Thanked by:
  #507 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Wednesday

Still on holiday mode.

FDAX

Gap: no
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: short

Results are good enough for a trade.

DAX long (paper) trade
Entry 9:30
Exit 10:00
SL 35 pts
Result 15 pts profit

Historical results with this setup: See snapshot

Let’s see


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Thanked by:
  #508 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Thursday

Still on holiday mode.

FDAX

Gap: no
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: above prior day HL
IB direction: long (70pts)

Yesterday small OC range 93pts. Today extreme IB OC.
At 9:30 the price is above prior day HL, leaving not many occurrences, however, results are good enough for a trade.

DAX long (paper) trade
Entry 11:00
Exit 14:30
SL 35 pts
Result .. pts

Historical results with this setup: See snapshot

Let’s see

(SumR translates to a relative (to current FDAX price) result of X points per trade
(Relative trade result = trade result in pts / 9am open price * 10000, and the SumR is the sum of the relative trade results))



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  #509 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833

Friday

Still on holiday mode.
Roll-over to Sept contract

FDAX

Gap: no
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: short

Yesterday green OC range 128 pts.
Results are good enough for a trade.

DAX short (paper) trade
Entry 10:00
Exit 11:00 (made a typo, should not have been 11:30 as per below snapshot)
SL 30 pts
Result 55 pts profit

Historical results with this setup: See snapshot

Let’s see


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Thanked by:
  #510 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Rithmic
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Hours
Posts: 599 since Jul 2019
Thanks Given: 2,884
Thanks Received: 833


Thursday result 18 pts loss.
Was just a minute too late with updating due to my holiday mode


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