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The answer depends on your criteria for a good year.
I consider this year (until now) for an excellent year for ES put sellers regarding a good sleep. There was no major draw down that would have caused problems for the puts.
That's true. The only question this year was if you sell ES puts today, when volatility is incredibly low, or tomorrow, when it will probably be even lower, all the while thinking it just can't get any lower.
It seems that Friday afternoon can be a good time to close short positions. The bankers, etc have quit for the week
and usually IV is low. The first part of the week can be good for increased IV and maybe a time to sell.
I'm thinking about ignoring my rule about keeping ES spread positions on all of the time.
Some of the rise in the stock market has been because they are thinking US corporations will be getting a huge tax cut. I suspect the road to tax cuts will have many detours. I don't trust the controlling party in US Congress to get it done as promised.
If that happens I suspect the stock market will finally have its' reason to have a major correction.
So I am going to exit my slightly profitable ES spreads next week.
I am debating whether to buy a few ES puts to make money on the crash. I will probably wait until tax cut proceedings start to falter to buy them if I do.
If tax cuts are as promised then hopefully I can get back in without missing too much profit.