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It's getting tough to see where things will go with all this EU turmoil but I'm thinking it will run back to 1.4 before any sustained move to the downside would occur. If it were to drop below the low on 11/3 without hiting 1.4 first I'm thinking trap. That candle pattern from 10/27 to 10/31 has a bearish look to it but stand back and look at the location of it and you can see that it's somewhat questionable....it would have been nicer if it was a bit higher. I can make a few arguments for going up to 1.4 and a couple for just dropping but am favoring a bit of a up move in the short term at the moment.
Looks a lot like a rejection to me at fridays low . Looks an awful lot like 3700 is gonna hold . Ill get long if it breaks > 3805 and try to get to just below 4000.