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Hey BD, I'm not so sure it's a good idea for you to also be looking at gap fill probabilities too. The part where you say, "would be up 6 points on morning trade had gone for the gap fill", that's not good. We can't control what has already happened, we can only control what will happen in terms of our actions. Focusing on what you could have done will take focus away from what you should be doing now and will do in the future. What we do now and what we will do in the future is all that matters.
I'd suggest that you are looking at way too much stuff. Very common advice from successful professional traders is to simplify. The simpler you make it the easier it becomes. Adding more indicators, statistics, time frames and other information will only complicate and cloud decision making. Rarely will all things line up perfectly at the exact same time, and when they do you're likely to have missed the entry point because it will take so long to figure it all out...analysis paralysis kind of thing.
If you're going to trade statistical probabilities, then just trade that. That would include gap fill probability, IB breaks and extensions, etc. Metricsmaestro on Twitter publishes all kinds of these statistics for free in addition to other sources on the web that are easily accessible. But I don't think anyone would be successful trading statistical probabilities AND stochastics AND MACD AND Elliot Wave AND floor pivots, etc.
It seems impossible that you'll gain confidence in what you're doing given you are trading by gut feel and at the same time looking at so many different technical indicators on multiple time frames and now adding in statistical probabilities.
Not much of day for me. Many behind the scenes issues putting me in wrong mindset at the moment to trade period.
Close to 30 point range from yesterday's close.