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Updated June 14, 2024
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May 14th, 2024, 10:18 AM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
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well indexes seem ok
really up to the fx, commodities and yields
carries still in trend at least
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
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May 15th, 2024, 03:20 PM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
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fx is still stuck but decent response save commodities
esp gold but that last blip could be revisited
crypto is even crazier right now
May 16th, 2024, 03:30 PM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
the behavior seems like resistance testing
since carries are still moving
fx, vol , yield digesting
//
nikkei is rough, china leading
then dow w/ iwm, mag7 sidelined
not sure what to make of commodities
May 17th, 2024, 02:24 PM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
vol in non-existent doldrums
many instruments are ranged
trends still maintained however
//
nvda being down is a drag for indexes
perhaps a challenge of support
unsure since tip of iceberg
May 20th, 2024, 11:10 AM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
eur/jpy is confirming more and leading vs aud/jpy
vol has been pressing, bonds complacent
some influence from nvda into weds
//
dollar is something to watch
the swiss equivalent failed resistance
likewise brent has also challenged support
//
huge asterisk literally huge ass + risk
could possibly develop due to covid era issues
the previous long term breaks could call for retests
//
cash might be a good spot since metals priced already
May 21st, 2024, 02:52 PM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
continuing the observation of saturation
aud/jpy side ramped hard this quarter
euro side has been less extreme
//
the nikkei is also resting as the yen dips more
similar with the bond drip fighting inflation
the dollar seems at a reasonable level
//
tips also seem content hovering as a safety
tips will payout an inflation adjusted principal at term
the minimum payout is always this initial face value, avoiding deflation
//
tips have technically deflated in price making this asset cheaper to own
while maintaining the risk-free nature of conserving principal
essentially cash-plus in the face of inflationary pressure
May 22nd, 2024, 03:02 PM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
nvda is prob fine just not sure if they carry the mag7 alone
aapl has some recovery googl too is strong
but tsla is just stuck in range
//
msft is trying to catch up too
maybe amzn can also ignite
nvda can provide the spark
May 23rd, 2024, 01:55 PM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
cash is ok still, nvda cannot carry or pull enough
around half the mag7 is dragging
resistance mostly
//
overall still ok but the pull back to Q4 '23 levels might be better
approx -15% draw where sp/ndx favored vs dia iwm, global
would pare up lagging sectors and provide better support
May 28th, 2024, 04:11 PM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
semis banked today including nvda, ai etc
energy trying to find a base as well
fx attempt vs dollar not enough
May 29th, 2024, 10:20 AM
boston ma
Posts: 383 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
some relief from mag7 to patch the semi rout
dollar strength continues to face inflation
energy demand from ai and crypto
//
there must be some kind of diminishing return for these ai queries
vs
normal searches.. same for mining vs paper
Last Updated on June 14, 2024