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I did a couple of stupid moves here. I dont know if I want to hold it until crude news
OK .. target filled.. I'll wait till crude news now.. I ended up flipping that last one short when I realized I was wrong nut it cost me about 2 points. I was originallly long at 4864 then flipped
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"
I had to run to work. I didn't get a chance to post anything before I left. I won't post all the details from my written journal only because I posted plenty of screen shots today and I think I did post most of what is in my hand written journal.. I'll double check incase there is something that stands out.
Overall I ended the day up only 4 points. Small gain, but I will take it and run.
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"
Jobless claims @8:30 (came in high 268k)
ISM manufacturing index @10:00 (came in @ 53.2)
NAT Gas report @ 10:30
Yesterdays drop in price closed the gap from 11-20 ETH VWAP @ 4814
Support @ 4800 pivot @ 4838
Might try a long @ 4800 if price comes down @ open
-Long 1 @ 4799.75/stop @4790 ( too wide of a stop) not comfortable with risk
*Stopped out ! will have to reevaluate thesis
Went long again, but immediately reversed. I changed my mind. Something told me my bullish thesis was wrong (for now).
Bears in control for the meantime. When I reversed I did make a point or so not sure how much right now.
I am holding short until S2 unless I see signs of support along 4775 IB-low, then i will flatten @ IB-low.
*** What the heck did I do ??? I flattened because of news..
-So short (again) 4788 with stop @4794 and target @ 4767(just shy of S1).
Had to flatten because I feel like price doesnt want to break below 4775
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"
I have to learn to hold my winners a little bit longer. I keep leaving points on the table. A couple of points is nothing, but dozens of points begins to add up.
I am going to leave to work now. I have not been making good decisions today so I will avoid any more trades. Jumped around too much. I should have killed it today, but couldn't execute properly. Any advice would be helpful.
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"
-No major news after 8:30 . Unemployment came in better than expected.
-FED member Brainard speaks @845 and Tarullo @ 1:00
-I think the Baker Hughes rig count is this afternoon @ 3:00, also.
Yesterdays price almost tested the post-election lows.
-Still ranging between post-election highs and lows
-ON couldn't bring price back up flat most of the evening with a small range. ETH VWAp @ 4723.
* Not sure what to think at this point. will see what price does @ open ... If we get a strong bull push @ open will consider a short @ pivot point 4761 area.
We could possibly see 4673 today ... Maybe !!
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"
-Short @ 4753.25/Stop @ 9 points just above PP (too risky) I jumped in too soon on this
-Target OR-Low 4725.25
-I moved my stop 9 points into profit area. Can't take the heat !! Call me pu**y if you want
*(theres 20 points on this move already. really resisting flattening and going home)* ETH VWAP holding as support.. getting worried about this down move ... At least for now..
Price turning on me !!!! Yikes !!!
Stopped out, But 9 points in the bank !!!!!!
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"
-Went short again right around ETH VWAP. I had a feeling my recent stop was just a pullback.
-Short 4745.25 / Stop 6 points @ 4751.75
-Target near ON Low of 4710, but i'll use 4712 just in case.
Wow ! 20 points in already on this move and i am starting to get anxious with this bit of support, even though I don't see any reason for it.
Overall 27 points in the bank today.. Not bad. thats my biggest day since I started with NQ. Progress is progress.
Thought for the week:
I think this week I grew alot as a trader. lots of progress. Emotionally I was very stable and calm on almost every trade with the exception on like 2. I controlled most of my losers to a tolerable amount. I do believe twice I risked a little more than what my trade plan called for, but I guess I was lucky those trades didn't go against me.
My ability to adapt to the market direction has improved. I have also improved on letting go of my notions and thesis when they are wrong. If the market wants to go one way , Who am I to tell it which way to go. It will not listen to me no matter how loud I scream !!!!!
Thanks again to all who have been contributing to my progress
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"
-No major news today other than factory orders
-Yesterday market closed about 20 points higher than open
-Yesterdays range was ok.
-ADR:53.55, MVWAP:4750, WVWAP:4774, ETH VWAP:4780
-ON very low range
*Market continues to stay between post-election range. I am going to anticipate a bull trend today, but I will not commit to that.
@ open possibly see a press down to 4774 area, then maybe bulls jump in and bring price up to about 4814(R1)
-I will stay focused
-I will keep emotions out of my trades
-I will not hesitate to change my thesis if market gives me signals otherwise
-I will re-evaluate, If necessary
-I will not hesitate to take what I believe to be a good trade
-I will keep my stops tight
"It's not about being right or wrong, it's about how much money you make when you're right, and how much you don't lose when you're wrong"