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Trading natural gas futures


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Trading natural gas futures

  #51 (permalink)
 
CobblersAwls's Avatar
 CobblersAwls 
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I saw this on twitter which you may find interesting too in line with that Kemp chart:

Courtesy of twitter user 125WMARION @ N565UA


X - Daily CONUS Temperature
Y - Daily CONUS NG Demand

All since 1/1/05

Cal 2005 is in green
Cal 2017 is in purple

Red dot is ysdy's all-time peak demand

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  #52 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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Amazing chart. Nicely illustrates the 12 year change in NatGas Demand.

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  #53 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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Although yday looks like an outlier

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  #54 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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Interesting piece (which I incidentally agree with)

Morningstar :- Who's Ready for Next Winter?

https://www.morningstar.com/products/commodities-and-energy/Research/USPowerGas_Jan19.pdf

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  #55 (permalink)
 JohnS 
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I thought this article was interesting:

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=34672

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  #56 (permalink)
 
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 PK 1 
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The last week bigger moves in NG, especially the spread Jan19-Feb19 (attached image), about 50 cent move that week with a strong move of 25 cents within only 15 minutes. Feb-Mar even bigger.

So far the spread NGF9-NGG9 was about 35 cents the year through but with starting of the heating season the months Jan-Feb-Mar have increased the spread a lot. Don't know if this is the same every year for these months.

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  #57 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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ICE of Season Storage Future (which is normally next week) is 3204/3210 which will be the lowest storage level in the last 12 years.

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  #58 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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Of course that should have read
SMCJB View Post
ICE End of Season Storage Future (which is normally next week) is 3204/3210 which will be the lowest storage level in the last 12 years.

For what it's worth 3190/3208 today. The lowest it ever traded was 3193 on 10/22 versus a high of 3750 back in January.

Anyway, just FYI NYMEX putting up NG margins $300 effective after the close of business on November 07, 2018

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  #59 (permalink)
 lamden 
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NG seems pretty cyclical and ripe for algo trading and tuning imo

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  #60 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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SMCJB View Post
NYMEX putting up NG margins $300 effective after the close of business on November 07, 2018

And another $200 effective after the close of business on 11/12/2018.

Winter, or at least the fear of the cold, is rising!

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