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The CL Crude-analysis Thread


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The CL Crude-analysis Thread

  #2551 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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CRUDE OIL MARGINS EFFECTIVE 4TH MARCH

Maintenance margin as follows (Initial Margins, ie non-member rates will be 110% of these)
Tier 1 / Apr22 increasing from $9000 to $10,000, +$1500
Tier 2 / May22 increasing from $8400 to $9500, +$1100
Tier 3 / Jun22 increasing from $7800 to $8500, +$700
Tier 4 / Jul22 increasing from $7200 to $7600, +$400
Tier 5 / Aug22 increasing from $6800 to $7000, +$200
Tier 6 / Sep22 increasing from $6450 to $6600, +$150
Tier 7 / Oct22 increasing from $6250 to $6300, +$50
Tier 8 / Nov22 increasing from $6050 to $6100, +$50
Tier 9 / Dec22 unchanged at $5850

https://www.cmegroup.com/notices/clearing/2022/03/Chadv22-073.html

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  #2552 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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CRUDE OIL MARGINS EFFECTIVE 7TH MARCH

Maintenance margin as follows (Initial Margins, ie non-member rates will be 110% of these)
Tier 1 / Apr22 increasing from $10500 to $12,000, +$1500
Tier 2 / May22 increasing from $9500 to $10500, +$1000
Tier 3 / Jun22 increasing from $8500 to $9500, +$1000
...
Tier 9 / Dec22 increasing from $5850 to $6400, +$550
...
Tier 21 / Dec23 increasing from $4400 to $4900, +$500
...
Tier 33 / Dec24 increasing from $3600 to $3800, +$200
...
and more!

https://www.cmegroup.com/notices/clearing/2022/03/Chadv22-076.html

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  #2553 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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CRUDE OIL MARGINS EFFECTIVE 9TH MARCH

Maintenance margin as follows (Initial Margins, ie non-member rates will be 110% of these)
Tier 1 / Apr22 unchanged at $12,000
Tier 2 / May22 unchanged at $10500
...
Tier 6 / Sep22 unchanged at $7300
Tier 7 / Oct22 increasing from $6900 to $7000, +$100
Tier 8 / Nov22 increasing from $6600 to $6900, +$300
Tier 9 / Dec22 increasing from $6400 to $6800, +$400
...
Tier 21 / Dec23 increasing from $4900 to $5400, +$500
...
Tier 33 / Dec24 increasing from $3800 to $4300, +$500
...
and more!

https://www.cmegroup.com/notices/clearing/2022/03/Chadv22-086.html

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  #2554 (permalink)
 
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 josh 
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wanted to post this here for posterity .. $7 move earlier today in 30 seconds, was down right at 20% on those low prints:


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  #2555 (permalink)
 
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Yeah that was hell of a move. All on a headline most people hadn't seen yet! I'm not sure I understand the reaction. Even if all of OPEC increases, they can't offset a fraction of Russia's production.

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  #2556 (permalink)
 
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 josh 
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SMCJB View Post
Yeah that was hell of a move. All on a headline most people hadn't seen yet! I'm not sure I understand the reaction. Even if all of OPEC increases, they can't offset a fraction of Russia's production.

Yeah I see it on twitter at 12:29, and it didn't really flush until about 5 minutes later. You know how headlines are... just a little catalyst, and then everyone's positioning does the rest.. especially in a super thin market like this.

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  #2557 (permalink)
mluka
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Well... WHAT was the post???

Thanks.

(BTW: I was on the road all day today and only saw this awesome spike after I got back home. Obviously, there must have been some news that spooked the CL market. I'm curious to know what the news was.)

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  #2558 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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mluka View Post
Well... WHAT was the post???

CNN:- First sign of oil price relief: UAE says it wants OPEC to increase production

https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/09/energy/oil-uae-production-increase/index.html

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  #2559 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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CRUDE OIL MARGINS EFFECTIVE 25TH MARCH

Maintenance margin as follows (Initial Margins, ie non-member rates will be 110% of these)
Tier 1 / May22 decreasing from $12000 to $10750, -$1250
Tier 3 / Jun22 decreasing from $10500 to $9750, -$750
Tier 4 / Jul22 decreasing from $9500 to $9200, -$300
Tier 5 / Aug22 increasing from $8600 to $8750, +$150
Tier 6 / Sep22 increasing from $7800 to $8400, +$600
Tier 7 / Oct22 increasing from $7300 to $8000, +$700
Tier 8 / Nov22 increasing from $7000 to $7700, +$700
Tier 9 / Dec22 increasing from $6900 to $7500, +$600
...
Tier 20 / Dec23 unchanged at $5500

https://www.cmegroup.com/notices/clearing/2022/03/Chadv22-111.html

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  #2560 (permalink)
Symple
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