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Seasonal Trades


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Seasonal Trades

  #191 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
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AntoniusBlock View Post
So your current position is SX20-WN20? Is there a reason you chose new crop rather than the suggested May contracts?

Regarding this trade, I do not follow any suggestion.

Regarding beans, planting area will be reduced compared to current assumptions in my opinion. This influences new crop.

Old crop wheat is tight, there is a chance this tightness will be reduce by new crop.

Generally, contracts further out have the advantage not to be influenced by traders.

Additionally, I see this trade as a long term trade.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #192 (permalink)
cornnut
Muncie, IN
 
Posts: 11 since Jan 2020
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Kruger View Post
Is anyone else considering this spread trade: Buy May20 Soybeans & Sell May20 Wheat (CBOT)?

The entry price is attractive (low) but this is somewhat risky considering the ongoing China-USA trade debacle. I am monitoring the movement for a possible entry early Feb.

Will appreciate the views of the seasoned traders.

Regards

I do not have a position in this particular spread yet, but I am watching it closely. I have been short soybeans for a couple of weeks, looking for an exit point on them as I think the downtrend is about over -for the time being-. I also recently went short some wheat as I believe it is over-valued.

So from a fundamental standpoint, this spread looks pretty good IMO.

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  #193 (permalink)
volramp
Tel Aviv Israel
 
Posts: 14 since May 2017
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volramp View Post
Considering to enter the following trade :
HE (Lean Hogs) -Apr20/+Aug20 from 13

Entered Jan21 at 12.7 closed today at 13.575
Nice $350 profit per spread in 9 days.

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  #194 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
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Trading: Commodities
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volramp View Post
Entered Jan21 at 12.7 closed today at 13.575
Nice $350 profit per spread in 9 days.

I sold this spread today. In my opinion, it is overdone now.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #195 (permalink)
cornnut
Muncie, IN
 
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myrrdin View Post
I sold this spread today. In my opinion, it is overdone now.

Best regards, Myrrdin

I also exited this spread today at 16.00. Hogs just getting hammered, looks like an exhaustion gap. Getting out and re-deploying capital to things with more return.

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  #196 (permalink)
volramp
Tel Aviv Israel
 
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Considering this:
NG short June / long Dec 20

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  #197 (permalink)
ants222222
new zealand
 
Posts: 6 since Aug 2017
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NG got further to go down?

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  #198 (permalink)
volramp
Tel Aviv Israel
 
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volramp View Post
Considering this:
NG short June / long Dec 20

Entered Feb 3 @ 0.432
closed today @0.494

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  #199 (permalink)
spomi
Vienna
 
Posts: 12 since Apr 2019
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hi myrrddin

different spread - still seasonal...

thinking about LEJ20-HEj20.

any thoughts about short term behavior thru out the day?

interested in English or German reply

greetings SPOMI

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  #200 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
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Trading: Commodities
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spomi View Post
hi myrrddin

different spread - still seasonal...

thinking about LEJ20-HEj20.

any thoughts about short term behavior thru out the day?

interested in English or German reply

greetings SPOMI

I just bought a first lot of HEM20-LEM20. In my opinion, hogs are undervalued, and Live Cattle are overvalued, regarding the June contracts.

I do not intend to enter the seasonal trade in the April contracts.

Best regards, Myrrdin

PS: As most readers here understand English better than German, I preferred to answer in English.

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Last Updated on May 4, 2021


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