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Broker: Advantage, Trading Technologies, OptionsCity, IQ Feed
Trading: CL, NG
Posts: 1,038 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 1,713
Thanks Received: 3,864
It's a pretty massive event to say the least. I don't think a bailout like we had before would be accepted politically. What I "think" would happen is a pre-packed bankruptcy situation but like you said, who can buy those assets? Maybe China or some other foreign buyer with deep pockets... I could see some sweetheart deal coming together for the right buyer as well. The true problem is still there though with the derivatives situation. I just think the Fed, Treasury and FDIC are going to have to decide whether or not to just let it happen and support the banks that have stayed out of this for the most part (smaller regional banks). But once BAC goes, more TBTF's will certainly follow.
Goldman has some of the biggest EU exposure, BNP Paribas is very suspect among the EU banks, Morgan Stanley is right there, Citi no better and the biggest whale of them all JPM has the largest derivatives exposure out there. This could blow up far greater than imaginable. Nothing was solved in 2008-2009 and it's come back even bigger this time which many knew it would. I wouldn't be surprised to find the Fed is already planning for this event. There's a $200 - $300 trillion time bomb counting down and they're trying to figure to either try and disable it or take cover. The Fed can't just print to cover it. It's just too much money. The USD would become completely worthless and there would be chaos in the streets.
Broker: Advantage, Trading Technologies, OptionsCity, IQ Feed
Trading: CL, NG
Posts: 1,038 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 1,713
Thanks Received: 3,864
Unless your mortgage is portfolio'd within the bank, they're most likely just the servicer and your mortgage was securitized and sold to a 3rd party investor. To have your mortgage portfolio'd, you'd probably need to have a mortgage of $1 million or more. If they were to fail though, who knows what happens to their servicing unit. Pretty interesting to think about.
MERS is pretty efficient and my guess is you would still be in default and I am sure it was made in gest.
To me this is more psychological than anything else. I think most interesting is that this is happening again in an election year! I wonder if there is some statistical info that says election years are Armageddon years!
I believe it best for us to push part of the problem down the line and take little poison pills as they come. Of course that is for the masses, and would devalue our currency (against who at this point as we are all bad!!) and our standing (again, we are all suffering except the BRIC's etc.?).
Letting BAC fail would be a huge problem and in my opinion not a step in a good direction. I think ripping it apart would cause even more drama but needs to be done. GS can burn in hell for all I care... haha...
I think now is a good time to buy some LEAP's (calls) maybe. I wonder what those are going for...
Broker: Advantage, Trading Technologies, OptionsCity, IQ Feed
Trading: CL, NG
Posts: 1,038 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 1,713
Thanks Received: 3,864
Yeah, I hear Linda Green over at MERS has been literally all over the default situation. Lol!!! Just kidding. The borrower would definitely be in default there.
You're interested in buying some calls on BAC? Who knows maybe it would work out if BAC is bailed out again but the likelihood of that happening seems pretty slim. I really think a pre-packaged BK of some kind is what's in store. Either way shareholder equity would be wiped out. At this point, even depositors could be wiped out, lol.
Yes, they are good at making sure they notify the credit agencies when you default and everyone else on your block as well. haha
I think MERS is a great concept though, and glad to see it survived. I couldn't imagine doing it the old way because here in Hawaii it would be even more jacked up at the Bureau of Conveyances!
That is why I would buy calls, as at least I know my loss in advance! There are a lot of shareholders in BAC. I guess I just can't get my head around the filing (BK).
Broker: Advantage, Trading Technologies, OptionsCity, IQ Feed
Trading: CL, NG
Posts: 1,038 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 1,713
Thanks Received: 3,864
Wow, good find! One thing I know all too well from that business world lingo is these restructuring announcements lead to mass layoffs in the referenced divisions. Additionally, it confirms just how bad things are there at BofA. I remember in 2008 when things were getting bad, I read all sorts of restructuring announcements from BofA as well. I also think these announcements are simply diversions to something far worse occurring.