Hello Traders!

Here is my AUD/USD analysis:

AUD/USD WEEK


Not much has changed since last week despite a new extreme. It is an uptrend. The price has hit quick reversal level 7/8 on the move and went down. Since the price went through 3 MM-levels without strong retracement, a trend reversal from this level is likely.

AUD/USD DAY


Not much has changed since last week. An uptrend. All targets along the trend are quite close to each other. We can see a retracement from strong level 6/8 which is significant on weekly charts. Perhaps, this is a start of a downtrend. However if the uptrend continues, the price is very likely to reach level 8/8 that is below target T1, because on the way to this level the price has only a weak local reversal level 7/8.

AUD/USD 240


This is a downtrend, the price is in the trading range and may linger there for a while. On the way to target T1 there are no strong levels from senior time frames, so the price may easily reach this target after hitting p.4 down.

AUD/USD 60


An uptrend. The price is in the upper trading range after hitting p.4 upward, till level 8/8 there are no more strong resistance levels from senior frames. The price may reach target T2 or even target M (unless the price is stuck at quick reversal level 7/8).

Weekly stochastics bullish, but momentum bearish.
Daily stoch bullish , momentum also bullish.
Hourly stoch embedded up high - bullish , momentum turned down bearish.

Conclusion, look for the hourly pullback and go long.

I still keep kicking myself for not getting in the Aussie when it made higher lows back in Feb - March. It was at 55 yen but now at 85 yen. I'm in Japan and I wanted to buy currency for a deposit on a house for when I return to Australia. Missed the boat. Grrr.

My AUDUSD last week analysis:

AUDUSD

Based on the previous analysis of 240 min chart, the closest target along the trend was Т1-0.8925 (Fig. 1).


Fig. 1 – 240

The target was reached on Jan. 28, 2010, but the trade was not made due to a small estimated profit (Fig. 2).


Fig. 2 – 240

My AUDUSD forecast:

AUDUSD

Based on the weekly charts, the price moves upward, for the time being it has lingered near level 7/8, further rise is possible (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1 - W1

Reasoning from the daily charts, the closest target is Т1-1.0031 (Fig. 2).

Fig. 2 – D1

Reasoning from the 240 min chart analysis, the closest target along the trend is T1-0.8826 (Fig. 3).

Fig. 3 – 240

Reasoning from the hourly chart analysis, the closest target along the trend is 0.8734 (Fig. 4).


Fig. 4 – 60

You still trading AUDUSD?