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Trading Reversals From Divergences


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  #1 (permalink)
 gannman 
Sydney
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Posts: 45 since Jun 2009
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Hey folks,

I have come to the conclusion that trading reversals is HARD! I have such a low win % from trading reversals off bullish/bearish divergences (usually off MACD histogram) that I have come to the following conclusion: A bearish divergence on an indicator may be enough to keep me from going long a contract, but it won't be enough to get me to go short.

In trying to trade reversals I always wait for >= 5 waves in the direction of the trend, sell at/near resistance (e.g. pivot point, fib level) and sell on stop below the swing high bar that caused the divergence (in the case of bearish divergence in an uptrend). However I usually get burned trading reversals - I almost want to forget about trading reversals all together...except I hear so many traders say how reversals are their best/favorite/most profitable trades, so obviously I'm doing something wrong!

I would appreciate any thoughts/tips from others on this subject.

Cheers,
Simon


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  #2 (permalink)
 
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 sefstrat 
Austin, TX
 
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what timeframe (or range, etc) are you looking at?

divergence on higher timeframe is much more meaningful than on lower timeframe.. use MTF and look for divergence across multiple scales.


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  #3 (permalink)
 gannman 
Sydney
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader
Posts: 45 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33
Thanks Received: 20


Thanks, I'll pay more attention to the higher timeframe in future.

I've been reflecting and I think my main problem is that I seem to go to some effort to make trading even more difficult than it is already (thinking that I'm smarter than the system etc).

Cheers,
Simon


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Last Updated on September 8, 2009


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