NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





1:1 risk reward, and targeting win rate?


Discussion in Emini and Emicro Index

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one forgiven with 9 posts (18 thanks)
    2. looks_two planetkill with 4 posts (2 thanks)
    3. looks_3 dsheehan87 with 4 posts (5 thanks)
    4. looks_4 forestcall with 4 posts (4 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one bobwest with 4 thanks per post
    2. looks_two martinhunting with 4 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 forgiven with 2 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 dsheehan87 with 1.3 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 36,985 views
    2. thumb_up 60 thanks given
    3. group 629 followers
    1. forum 50 posts
    2. attach_file 1 attachments




 
Search this Thread
  #1 (permalink)
djporter91
Dallas
 
Posts: 6 since Apr 2020
Thanks Given: 3
Thanks Received: 4

i've been wanting to get into futures day trading for a while, and i'm starting my regimen today. 30m-60m/day of trading the open(or before lunch really).

i'm using a basic setup: waiting for the 9/21sma to spread with the pSAR confirming, and then buying pullbacks into the 9ema and selling when they hit 4 ticks.

i'm also using 4ticks as a stop too. the ATR was like 10~ticks today, so things moved fast to say the least. average trade was 45sec. after 35trades i was down $113 after commissions, in a paper account.

is that a good idea with scalping or is it better to scale in your buys, and scale out of your wins? i'm curious as to what the different opinions are. i come from the trend following school, but i like the idea of having fixed targets and sitting on my hands to not interfere. Theres also a boatload of noise in the e-micro market, so 4 ticks can pass by in .2 seconds and not be part of a "move" at all.

any thoughts would be appreciated. this is my first post and im looking forward to learning more from this community and sharing what i can.


Reply With Quote
Thanked by:

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
CFTC Rewrites the Rulebook -- Kalshi Cracks $1B Non-Spor …
Prediction Markets & Event Contracts
April FOMC Minutes: Most Divided Fed Since 1992 -- Many …
Traders Hideout
$12M Ceasefire Contract Goes Disputed as Bandar Abbas St …
Prediction Markets & Event Contracts
Probability Collapse: Bitcoin $150k Craters from 15% to …
Prediction Markets & Event Contracts
Asia Equities Crash Overnight -- Nikkei -5.2%, KOSPI -6. …
Traders Hideout
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Sober Journey With S&P
21 thanks
2026 Jlab journal
10 thanks
Trying to learn Volume and price action correlation
8 thanks
Algo automated / semi-automated trading anyone?
6 thanks
Hello Im new here
5 thanks
  #2 (permalink)
 
forgiven's Avatar
 forgiven 
ashville NC
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: nijia trader
Broker: A.M.P. I.Q. ....C.Q.G.
Trading: ym es
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Days
Posts: 929 since Mar 2012
Thanks Given: 309
Thanks Received: 666

the chances of making that idea works is not good . out running the slippage , commission , and over trading will not be easy day in day out. when you fail to make it work , then you will try to filter the pull backs . you would stand a better chance using higher time frames . like when when the ES is trading above the 8 day ema on the daily and weekly charts , take all pull backs to the 8 day ema on the daily with a 5 point stop. hold it until you make 15 to 30 points. use micro contracts if your cash account will not stand a 250.00 loss. that takes care of a lot of problems in your concept. commission, slippage , over trading , being glued to a computer all day long ... ect.ect


Follow me on X Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)
djporter91
Dallas
 
Posts: 6 since Apr 2020
Thanks Given: 3
Thanks Received: 4


i like that idea. idk if i can do that right now tho. $250 loss on a trade is a bit much. $5 at a time is a little easier to stomach! haha.


Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)
 
forestcall's Avatar
 forestcall 
Tokushima, Japan
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Tradovate + Tradingview
Trading: Futures + Stocks
Posts: 57 since Jun 2020
Thanks Given: 65
Thanks Received: 106

I use a variety of indicators to help me to choose when to enter a trade. Exiting a trade is much easier as I am only interested in 5-10 ticks. To help with the whipsaw action and general noise in the trendline I use vwap/mvwap and of course support and resistance. I am working on an addon where I can click a button to adjust various time periods with vwap/mvwap in relation to ema and sma. Also I adjust the ATR calculation and I like to check the RMA and the SMA as SMA is not normally used with the ATR calculation.

In terms of when to trigger the stop loss I prefer to use 8 ticks instead of 4 so that I can ride some of the whipsaw activity. Also with the addon I am coding buttons to adjust the stop loss from 4 ticks to 8 ticks so I can quickly adjust when whipsaw activity is only 1-4 ticks. I don't look at this as slippage now that I have started using Bookmap.

Additionally, I have a chart with the ADX DMI strategy simply as a way to see how much of this data is matching up. I have Bookmap sharing the same monitor and I would argue that Bookmap is quickly becoming my most valuable tool for choosing my entries. I am still getting comfortable with Bookmap as it is an explosion of eye candy that my brain is still learning to process.

Part of the reason I am commenting in this thread is simply to help me organize my thoughts. So thanks in advance for forgiving me for this dizzy array of strategies.


Follow me on X Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #5 (permalink)
djporter91
Dallas
 
Posts: 6 since Apr 2020
Thanks Given: 3
Thanks Received: 4


forestcall View Post

In terms of when to trigger the stop loss I prefer to use 8 ticks instead of 4 so that I can ride some of the whipsaw activity. Also with the addon I am coding buttons to adjust the stop loss from 4 ticks to 8 ticks so I can quickly adjust when whipsaw activity is only 1-4 ticks. I don't look at this as slippage now that I have started using Bookmap.

wait, so you have an 8 tick stop but a 5tick profit target? am i understanding that right?


Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)
 
forestcall's Avatar
 forestcall 
Tokushima, Japan
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Tradovate + Tradingview
Trading: Futures + Stocks
Posts: 57 since Jun 2020
Thanks Given: 65
Thanks Received: 106

I am scalping. The trades last 1-3 min. If I have a tight stop then I will exit out with a loss. There is a whipsaw of 4-6 ticks in some trades.

How do you scalp 1-3 min trades?


djporter91 View Post
wait, so you have an 8 tick stop but a 5tick profit target? am i understanding that right?


Follow me on X Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)
 Nadir22 
Cairo+Egypt
 
Posts: 5 since Jul 2020

If you factor in the commissions, your 1:1 risk to reward ratio doesn't hold in practice .

I'd suggest leaving that idea & move to at least 1.5R to 2R trades, indicators don't work IMHO - try moving to volume profile if you're looking for longevity as a trader.


Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)
 dsheehan87 
Chicago IL USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Ninjatrader
Trading: ES CL SB
Posts: 14 since May 2020
Thanks Given: 3
Thanks Received: 18


djporter91 View Post
i've been wanting to get into futures day trading for a while, and i'm starting my regimen today. 30m-60m/day of trading the open(or before lunch really).



i'm using a basic setup: waiting for the 9/21sma to spread with the pSAR confirming, and then buying pullbacks into the 9ema and selling when they hit 4 ticks.



i'm also using 4ticks as a stop too. the ATR was like 10~ticks today, so things moved fast to say the least. average trade was 45sec. after 35trades i was down $113 after commissions, in a paper account.



is that a good idea with scalping or is it better to scale in your buys, and scale out of your wins? i'm curious as to what the different opinions are. i come from the trend following school, but i like the idea of having fixed targets and sitting on my hands to not interfere. Theres also a boatload of noise in the e-micro market, so 4 ticks can pass by in .2 seconds and not be part of a "move" at all.



any thoughts would be appreciated. this is my first post and im looking forward to learning more from this community and sharing what i can.



I don’t use actual stops, but I target 2-4 ticks (sometimes it moves fast and I may end up with 6-8 as I do it all manually) and try to get out 0-4 ticks if it stalls but sometimes if I just think my placement was wrong, I may put another order in and try to win that one and get out of the first at scratch or profit if my correlations are moving in that direction.

I don’t scale out. If I’m trading a 5 lot, and out all 5. I treat each entry as a separate trade.

The rest I can’t speak to as I don’t use charts or indicators...

35 trades though is a lot to be down for the day btw. Even though it’s paper, try and condition yourself to end the day of it’s not going well.

I had 36 trades today 100% winners (a very good hour of trading), but if I was trading bad I’d never have traded that many times... otherwise you are digging a hole with fees.



Sent using the NexusFi mobile app


Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #9 (permalink)
 dsheehan87 
Chicago IL USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Ninjatrader
Trading: ES CL SB
Posts: 14 since May 2020
Thanks Given: 3
Thanks Received: 18


forgiven View Post
the chances of making that idea works is not good . out running the slippage , commission , and over trading will not be easy day in day out. when you fail to make it work , then you will try to filter the pull backs . you would stand a better chance using higher time frames . like when when the ES is trading above the 8 day ema on the daily and weekly charts , take all pull backs to the 8 day ema on the daily with a 5 point stop. hold it until you make 15 to 30 points. use micro contracts if your cash account will not stand a 250.00 loss. that takes care of a lot of problems in your concept. commission, slippage , over trading , being glued to a computer all day long ... ect.ect



I trade 30-50 separate trades a day (sometimes over 100). I risk 1-4 ticks (limit exit usually), I take 1-4 ticks profit, I win 80-90%, but like today, I was 36-36 100% winners. To try and pick direction is a losing venture. His ideas (though, I wouldn’t use charts, indicators or market profile to trade because none of it works) are far less risky.

I agree the commissions can add up, but if you win, they are nothing to worry about. If you are losing 40, 50, 60% of trades you have more to worry about than commissions.

I have no slippage. There’s no slippage on limit orders. It’s not possible.


Sent using the NexusFi mobile app


Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)
 
forgiven's Avatar
 forgiven 
ashville NC
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: nijia trader
Broker: A.M.P. I.Q. ....C.Q.G.
Trading: ym es
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Days
Posts: 929 since Mar 2012
Thanks Given: 309
Thanks Received: 666



dsheehan87 View Post
I trade 30-50 separate trades a day (sometimes over 100). I risk 1-4 ticks (limit exit usually), I take 1-4 ticks profit, I win 80-90%, but like today, I was 36-36 100% winners. To try and pick direction is a losing venture. His ideas (though, I wouldn’t use charts, indicators or market profile to trade because none of it works) are far less risky.

I agree the commissions can add up, but if you win, they are nothing to worry about. If you are losing 40, 50, 60% of trades you have more to worry about than commissions.

I have no slippage. There’s no slippage on limit orders. It’s not possible.


Sent using the NexusFi mobile app

B.S.


Follow me on X Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
Thanked by:




Last Updated on April 21, 2022


© 2026 NexusFi®, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Downloads - Top
no new posts