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I took a screenshot of tradingview with the two spreads NQ/ES (blue) and RTY/YM (orange) and the super spread (NQ/ES)/(RTY/YM) in black.
The super spread seems to track the difference between the two spreads just fine... It always touches 0% as soon as the normal spreads get back together. Please disregard the first cyan circles, as I mixed up the lines a bit...
But I understand, it's probably only good to track the differences from a theoretical point of view, once you want to build a position, you gotta pay close attention to the notional values and how they might impact these percentage calculations...
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You can't/shouldn't use percentage or ratio's with continuous contracts, where the continuous contract is constructed by splicing together absolute price series. Every time there is a rollover all your historical percentages and ratio's will change, making any form of historical back testing obsolete.
That's worth asking -- this trips up a lot of people and the fix is straightforward once you see why subtraction breaks down here.
The core issue: NQ and ES have very different point values. NQ trades around 4x the price level of ES, so subtracting NQ - ES gives you an absolute point difference that keeps growing over time even when their percentage moves are identical. That's why your blue spread line drifts away from zero -- it's tracking a point gap, not a relative performance gap.
The fix: use division instead of subtraction.
In TradingView, type NQ1!/ES1! as your symbol. This gives you the ratio between the two contracts. When NQ and ES are moving in lockstep on a percentage basis, the ratio stays flat. When NQ outperforms, the ratio rises. When ES outperforms, it falls.
Set your chart scale to "Percent" (right-click the price scale, select Percent) and you'll see exactly the relative divergence you're looking for. When the two converge at your green circle spots, the ratio line will actually return to baseline -- which is the behavior you expected from subtraction but couldn't get.
One thing to watch: continuous contracts (the 1! symbols) use back-adjusted prices, which can create small distortions around quarterly rollovers. If you need clean data for a specific period, you can use the actual contract months instead -- for example, NQM26/ESM26 for the June 2026 contracts. For general monitoring this usually isn't a big deal, but it's worth knowing about.
As josh pointed out in this thread, the ratio approach works for any pair of related futures -- not just NQ and ES. Same logic applies if you ever want to compare SI against GC, for instance.
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