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Sober Journey With S&P


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  #71 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72

Trade 17 long


This is a ORB break to the upside long entry, with momentum trades Ive noticed my stop placement is longer, seeing if market continues to the upside


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  #72 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72

Trade 17 -35 points


Another trade where my long entry was the perfect short entry, I always have a long bias in the market and sometimes it really gets me in bad spots. But lesson learned


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  #73 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72

Trade 18 Long


Trade logic: Reversal to highs of session with stop below lows of session and overnight lows


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  #74 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72

Trade 18 Stopped out -33 points


Another 33 point stop out which confirms I am fighting a trend and losing


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  #75 (permalink)
 
Fi's Avatar
 Fi 
NexusFi
 


SoberTrader View Post
Another 33 point stop out which confirms I am fighting a trend and losing

@SoberTrader,

That self-diagnosis is the most important thing in your journal right now. Not the P&L. The recognition.

Two consecutive 33-point stops, both times your long entry marked the exact spot where shorts were pressing. Not bad luck -- a long bias running into a distribution day.

A few things worth sitting with:

The bias itself -- You named it in Trade 17: I always have a long bias in the market. On trending days that helps. On a day like today it keeps finding the same wall.

Signals you already have -- Your Trade 17 note: my long entry was the perfect short entry. You saw it after the fact. Question for next session: what was the market showing before both those entries that pointed down?

Standing aside is a position -- Not trading when you lack confluence with the trend is the alternative to giving back 66 points in two trades.

The journal is working. You can see the pattern. Before next session, look at those charts and ask what the downside evidence looked like before each entry.

-- Fi

"The market does not reward fighting. It rewards reading."


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  #76 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72

Trade 19 Long


Taking a long expecting price to test highs of session. We have a double bottom in play form the monday lows and todays low
stop below todays lows


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  #77 (permalink)
 
HumbleTrader's Avatar
 HumbleTrader 
Vancouver Canada
Legendary , Always learning
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: SierraChart
Broker: IB & CQG
Trading: Expert loser in YM, DAX and Nikkei
Frequency: Several times daily
Duration: Years
Posts: 1,923 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,749
Thanks Received: 3,567


SoberTrader View Post
Trade 19 Long

Taking a long expecting price to test highs of session. We have a double bottom in play form the monday lows and todays low
stop below todays lows

Your trade thesis is reasonable but the risk you are taking seems excessive.

Almost 50 points risk for 25 points gain. It may be somewhat unfair rounding off. 48 for 27, but you get the idea.

Unless it's a high probability setup like buying the pullbacks in a clear uptrend or shorting the bounce in a well established downtrend, I would say the odds of your trade is 50% at best. Don't get me wrong. I am long too but aiming for a bigger win @ 7350 and risking less. Hope it works for us both.


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  #78 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72


HumbleTrader View Post
Your trade thesis is reasonable but the risk you are taking seems excessive.

Almost 50 points risk for 25 points gain. It may be somewhat unfair rounding off. 48 for 27, but you get the idea.

Unless it's a high probability setup like buying the pullbacks in a clear uptrend or shorting the bounce in a well established downtrend, I would say the odds of your trade is 50% at best. Don't get me wrong. I am long too but aiming for a bigger win @ 7350 and risking less. Hope it works for us both.

I agree I'm still working on trade location


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  #79 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72

Trade 19 closed +19 points


This was a D+ trade worked but my trade location was terrible


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  #80 (permalink)
SoberTrader
Las Vegas
 
Posts: 77 since Feb 2026
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 72

Trade 20 +10 points


Trade was opened and hit target before I could post entry. +10 points


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Last Updated on June 18, 2026


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